Rabbitohs vs Knights Prediction

The bookies have this one pretty tight, giving the Rabbitohs a slight edge at 54.69%. Our deeper stats basically back that up, putting the Bunnies just a smidge stronger at 55.06%.

Given the odds of $1.74 for the Rabbitohs and $2.10 for the Knights, there’s not a huge value gap here, but the Rabbitohs are just slightly better placed to get the chocolates based on the form and matchups.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

• Predicted Final Score: Rabbitohs 16 – 11 Knights
• Average Points For: Rabbitohs 16.63, Knights 10.29 (Rabbitohs by 6.3 points)
• Average Points Against: Rabbitohs 22.13, Knights 20.86 (Knights slightly better by 1.27 points)
• Win Percentage: Rabbitohs 50.00%, Knights 28.57% (Rabbitohs with a 21.43% edge)
• Adjusted Points For: Rabbitohs 17.12, Knights 9.25 (Rabbitohs clearly stronger in attack)
• Adjusted Points Against: Rabbitohs 19.03, Knights 15.36 (Knights better defensively)
• Over/Under Tempo: 30.4 (Expect a slow, grinding, low-scoring game)
• Game Style Prediction: Grinder

What to do?

In the power rankings, the Knights are just ahead in 12th spot compared to the Rabbitohs in 14th, not a huge difference, but worth noting. Based on the True Power Score (weighted), the Knights again shade it slightly with a 12.20 compared to the Rabbitohs’ 13.60.

Looking deeper, the Rabbitohs have been a bit more consistent in scoring, with higher Adjusted Points For (17.12 vs 9.25), but the Knights have been more solid in blocking the opposition, letting in fewer adjusted points per game (15.36 vs 19.03).

Both sides have faced similar quality opponents (average opponent rank of 8.25), but the Rabbitohs’ opponents have had slightly better win percentages, making their path a touch tougher.

All things considered, the Rabbitohs are rightly favourites, but the Knights have enough defensive steel to keep it close. Expect a tight, gritty battle where points are hard to come by, perfect for those who love a good old-fashioned grudge match!

Score prediction is well under the anticipated 45.5 total points so best bets is to go with that, Rabbitohs +1.5  is also a decent shout however if you are planning on going the Knights for the win taking the H-2-H is the better option, Rabbitohs should win by less than 12 points so if you’re looking for a little bit of extra value Unibet is at $3.15 for the 1-12 winning margin (by far the better option for winning margins).

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Rabbitohs: 16.63, Knights: 10.29 – (Rabbitohs by 6.3 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Rabbitohs: 22.13, Knights: 20.86 – (Knights by 1.27 points)
• Power Rank: Rabbitohs: 14, Knights: 12 – (Knights by 2)
• Average Winning Margin: Rabbitohs: 4.75, Knights: 8.00 – (Knights by 3.25 points)
• SoS Adjusted Points For: Rabbitohs: 17.12, Knights: 9.25 – (Rabbitohs by 7.87 points)
• Win Percentage: Rabbitohs: 50.00%, Knights: 28.57% – (Rabbitohs by 21.43%)
• Average Opponent Rank: Rabbitohs: 8.25, Knights: 8.25 – (Even)
• Average Opponent Win %: Rabbitohs: 44.64%, Knights: 37.20% – (Rabbitohs by 7.44%)
• Average Opponent Points For: Rabbitohs: 19.75, Knights: 16.79 – (Knights by 2.96 points)
• Highest Score For: Rabbitohs: 28.00, Knights: 26.00 – (Rabbitohs by 2 points)
• Highest Score Against: Rabbitohs: 32.00, Knights: 34.00 – (Rabbitohs by 2 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 49.00, Knights: 48.00 – (Rabbitohs by 1 point)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Rabbitohs: 30.00, Knights: 18.00 – (Knights by 12 points)
• Adjusted Points For: Rabbitohs: 17.12, Knights: 9.25 – (Rabbitohs by 7.87 points)
• Adjusted Points Against: Rabbitohs: 19.03, Knights: 15.36 – (Knights by 3.67 points)
• True Power Score (Weighted): Rabbitohs: 13.60, Knights: 12.20 – (Knights by 1.4 points)
• OVER/UNDER Tempo: 30.4
• Game Style Prediction: Grinder