Cowboys vs Wests Tigers Prediction

Game 3 of Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 31 features the Cowboys vs Wests Tigers at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

North Queensland Cowboys vs Wests Tigers Predictions

Saturday, May 31, 2025

5:30 pm @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Final Score Prediction

Cowboys

21 : 19

Wests Tigers

Win Percentages

Cowboys 50.80%

Tigers 49.20%

Cowboys

Wests Tigers

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the North Queensland Cowboys set at $1.41, and $2.85 for the Wests Tigers, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Cowboys 66.90%
Wests Tigers 33.10%

The Betting Edge

The bookies are strongly behind the Cowboys here, with odds of $1.41 giving them a 66.90% implied chance of getting the win. But our prediction paints a much more even picture, rating the Cowboys at just 50.80%.

On the flip side, the Tigers are out at $2.85, which implies only a 33.10% chance. Our model has them at 49.20%, almost a coin toss, and way higher than what the market suggests.

That difference creates some serious value on the Wests Tigers. If our numbers are right, their true odds should be closer to $2.03. So getting them at $2.85 is a massive overs.

This one’s shaping up to be much tighter than the odds suggest, and the Tigers could be a very smart underdog play with that kind of value on the table.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Cowboys vs Wests Tigers Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Cowboys by 2.3
Average Points Against Per Match: Wests Tigers by 1
Power Rank: Cowboys by 3
Average Winning Margin: Cowboys by 1
SoS Adjusted Points For: Cowboys by 4
Win Percentage: Wests Tigers by 5%
Average Opponent Rank: Wests Tigers by 2
Average Opponent Win %: Wests Tigers by 4%
Average Opponent Points For: Wests Tigers by 3
Highest Score For: Cowboys by 16
Highest Score Against: Cowboys by 22
Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 2
Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 12
Adjusted Points For: Cowboys by 4
Adjusted Points Against: Wests Tigers by 4
True Power Score (Weighted): Cowboys by 2
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 47.4
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Cowboys: 11, Wests Tigers: 9 – (Wests Tigers by 2)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Cowboys: 9.17, Wests Tigers: 10.50 – (Cowboys by 1.33)

Over/Under Tempo: Low tempo expected; a tough, contested battle with few expansive attacking passages and an emphasis on territory and control.

Game Style Prediction: Grinder. A close, gritty matchup likely defined by defensive discipline and execution in key moments.

What to do?

Both the expected margin and the game tempo is set below the below the 49.5 OVER/UNDER so best bet in a game that could potentially swing either way is to to go the UNDER.

Looking at multis go the Cowboys 1-12, Tigers +7.5, and the UNDER 49.5 for a handy little $11.73 with Unibet as shown below.