Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Prediction

The bookies have the Lions priced at $1.50, which suggests they win this about 62.19% of the time. Our model’s not too far off, sitting at 61%, so there’s no real standout value in jumping on Brisbane at that price, it’s pretty spot on.

The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are priced at $2.50 with a 37.81% implied chance. Our model has them a touch higher at 39%. It’s only a slight difference, but it does offer a teeny bit of value for the Doggies, especially if you think they’ve got it in them to cause an upset.

In Summary

This one’s pretty well priced by the bookies across the board, but if we had to pick a side with a tiny edge, it’d be the Bulldogs. Not a huge gap, but enough to consider if you’re leaning that way anyway. Our prediction still has Brisbane getting up by 17 points, but don’t be shocked if the Doggies make a game of it.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 86.8, Brisbane: 92.0 – (Brisbane by 5.2 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 86.3, Brisbane: 77.0 – (Brisbane by 9.3 points)
• Average Winning Margin: Western Bulldogs: 12.0, Brisbane: 15.0 – (Brisbane by 3 points)
• Average Losing Margin: Western Bulldogs: 11.0, Brisbane: N/A – (Brisbane edge)
• HT/FT Double %: Western Bulldogs: 25.0%, Brisbane: 25.0% – (Even)
• Highest Score For: Western Bulldogs: 113, Brisbane: 118 – (Brisbane by 5 points)
• Highest Score Against: Western Bulldogs: 97, Brisbane: 90 – (Brisbane by 7 points)
• Biggest Win: Western Bulldogs: 16, Brisbane: 28 – (Brisbane by 12 points)
• Biggest Loss: Western Bulldogs: 16, Brisbane: N/A – (Brisbane edge)
• Highest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 210, Brisbane: 208 – (Western Bulldogs by 2 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 146, Brisbane: 131 – (Brisbane by 15 points)
• Goal Accuracy For %: Western Bulldogs: 63.0%, Brisbane: 60.0% – (Western Bulldogs by 3%)
• Goal Accuracy Against %: Western Bulldogs: 57.5%, Brisbane: 61.6% – (Western Bulldogs by 4.1%)
• Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: L1, Brisbane: W4 – (Brisbane momentum)
• Current Form: Western Bulldogs: WLWL, Brisbane: WWWW – (Brisbane edge)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 50.0%, Brisbane: 0.0% – (Brisbane by 50%)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 50.0%, Brisbane: 100.0% – (Brisbane by 50%)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Western Bulldogs: 50.0%, Brisbane: 100.0% – (Brisbane by 50%)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Brisbane won by 43 points (114-71) on 7th June 2024
• Previous Encounter: Western Bulldogs won by 14 points (67-53) on 30th March 2023