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Storm vs Sharks Prediction

Ben H 23 June 2025 Last Updated: 23/06/25

Game 7 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 29 features the Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks at AAMI Park on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks Predictions

Sunday, June 29, 2025

2:00pm @ AAMI Park, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Melbourne Storm
Storm
29 : 21
Cronulla Sharks
Sharks

The premiership favorites host a dangerous Sharks outfit in what promises to be an entertaining Sunday afternoon clash.

Melbourne’s clinical execution and home ground advantage should see them prevail, but Cronulla has the firepower to keep this interesting.

Expect an attacking masterclass from both sides in what could be a preview of finals football.

Win Percentages

Storm
62.70%
Sharks
37.30%

The Market Assessment

Melbourne are prohibitive favorites at $1.33, reflecting their status as premiership favorites and formidable home record.

The Sharks at $3.30 offer value for the brave, but it’s hard to see them toppling the Storm in Melbourne.

The 9.5-point line looks challenging given our predicted 8-point margin, making alternative markets more appealing.

Storm



Sharks



Why Storm Weather The Sharks

Melbourne’s system remains the gold standard in rugby league.

Their discipline, structure, and ability to execute under pressure makes them nearly unbeatable at AAMI Park.

While Cronulla possesses genuine attacking threats, breaking down the Storm’s defensive wall in Melbourne is one of the toughest asks in rugby league.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The power rankings show Melbourne’s dominance:

  • Total Power Rank: Storm streets ahead (1.00 vs 7.67)
  • Attack: Storm averaging 9 more points per game
  • Defence: Melbourne’s defensive system elite
  • Home Form: AAMI Park a fortress
  • Big Game Experience: Storm thrive under pressure

Game Style Prediction: High-scoring, balanced contest with both teams throwing the ball around.
Expected Total: 50 points – expect fireworks from both sides

Our Betting Strategy

Best Value: Storm 1-12

Storm 1-12 @ $3.05

With an 8-point predicted margin, the 1-12 band offers excellent value. This covers a comfortable Storm win without needing them to cover the hefty line.

Entertainment Special: Over 47.5

Over 47.5 @ $1.90

With two attacking teams and a predicted total of 50 points, the overs looks a smart play for what should be an entertaining contest.

Contrarian Play: Sharks +9.5

Sharks +9.5 @ $1.90

If you fancy the Sharks to keep it close, the line bet offers value. They only need to lose by 9 or less in what could be a shootout.

The AAMI Fortress

Melbourne’s home record remains the best in the competition.

The combination of their systematic approach and hostile crowd creates an environment where few teams prosper.

X-Factor Battle: Cameron Munster vs Nicho Hynes – two of the game’s premier playmakers go head-to-head in what could decide the outcome.

The Bottom Line

The Storm should have too much class for the Sharks, but expect an entertaining contest with both teams willing to chance their arm.

Melbourne’s structure and home advantage will ultimately prove decisive.

The 1-12 margin band offers the best value, while the overs also appeals in what shapes as a high-quality attacking display from both sides.

Remember to gamble responsibly.


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