Game 7 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 29 features the Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks at AAMI Park on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥
Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sharks Predictions
Sunday, June 29, 2025
2:00pm @ AAMI Park, Melbourne
Final Score Prediction

Storm

Sharks
The premiership favorites host a dangerous Sharks outfit in what promises to be an entertaining Sunday afternoon clash.
Melbourne’s clinical execution and home ground advantage should see them prevail, but Cronulla has the firepower to keep this interesting.
Expect an attacking masterclass from both sides in what could be a preview of finals football.
Win Percentages
62.70%
37.30%
The Market Assessment
Melbourne are prohibitive favorites at $1.33, reflecting their status as premiership favorites and formidable home record.
The Sharks at $3.30 offer value for the brave, but it’s hard to see them toppling the Storm in Melbourne.
The 9.5-point line looks challenging given our predicted 8-point margin, making alternative markets more appealing.
Why Storm Weather The Sharks
Melbourne’s system remains the gold standard in rugby league.
Their discipline, structure, and ability to execute under pressure makes them nearly unbeatable at AAMI Park.
While Cronulla possesses genuine attacking threats, breaking down the Storm’s defensive wall in Melbourne is one of the toughest asks in rugby league.
Head-to-Head Analysis
The power rankings show Melbourne’s dominance:
- Total Power Rank: Storm streets ahead (1.00 vs 7.67)
- Attack: Storm averaging 9 more points per game
- Defence: Melbourne’s defensive system elite
- Home Form: AAMI Park a fortress
- Big Game Experience: Storm thrive under pressure
Game Style Prediction: High-scoring, balanced contest with both teams throwing the ball around.
Expected Total: 50 points – expect fireworks from both sides
Our Betting Strategy
Best Value: Storm 1-12
Storm 1-12 @ $3.05
With an 8-point predicted margin, the 1-12 band offers excellent value. This covers a comfortable Storm win without needing them to cover the hefty line.
The AAMI Fortress
Melbourne’s home record remains the best in the competition.
The combination of their systematic approach and hostile crowd creates an environment where few teams prosper.
X-Factor Battle: Cameron Munster vs Nicho Hynes – two of the game’s premier playmakers go head-to-head in what could decide the outcome.
The Bottom Line
The Storm should have too much class for the Sharks, but expect an entertaining contest with both teams willing to chance their arm.
Melbourne’s structure and home advantage will ultimately prove decisive.
The 1-12 margin band offers the best value, while the overs also appeals in what shapes as a high-quality attacking display from both sides.
Remember to gamble responsibly.
Related:
NRL Draw
Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.
NRL Injury List
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.
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