Sea Eagles vs Broncos Prediction

Game 4 of Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 31 features the Sea Eagles vs Broncos at 4 Pines Park on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions

Saturday, May 31, 2025

7:35 pm @ 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Sea Eagles

22 : 27

Broncos

Win Percentages

Sea Eagles 47.96%

Broncos 52.04%

Sea Eagles

Broncos

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Manly Sea Eagles set at $1.66, and $2.18 for the Brisbane Broncos, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sea Eagles 56.77%
Broncos 43.23%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have the Sea Eagles as favourites here, pricing them at $1.66, which gives them an implied chance of 56.77% to take the win. Our prediction has them a bit lower at 47.96%, suggesting the market might be slightly overrating Manly.

Meanwhile, the Broncos are paying $2.18, with implied odds of 43.23%. But according to our numbers, Brisbane actually have a 52.04% chance of getting up, that’s a solid bump above what the bookies are offering.

That difference creates a nice bit of value on the Broncos. If our model’s right, their true odds should be closer to $1.92. So with $2.18 on offer, there’s a decent opportunity to back them at overs.

All in all, Brisbane looks like the value play here. The market might be leaning a little too heavily towards Manly, making the Broncos a tempting punt at that price.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Sea Eagles vs Broncos Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Broncos by 2.7
Average Points Against Per Match: Sea Eagles by 0.5
Power Rank: Broncos by 1
Average Winning Margin: Sea Eagles by 1
SoS Adjusted Points For: Broncos by 3
Win Percentage: Even
Average Opponent Rank: Sea Eagles by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Sea Eagles by 1%
Average Opponent Points For: Sea Eagles by 0
Highest Score For: Broncos by 8
Highest Score Against: Broncos by 16
Highest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles by 2
Lowest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles by 2
Adjusted Points For: Broncos by 3
Adjusted Points Against: Sea Eagles by 1
True Power Score (Weighted): Broncos by 2.2
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 48.3
Game Style Prediction: High Scoring Balanced Game
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Sea Eagles: 7, Broncos: 7 – (Even)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Sea Eagles: 6.50, Broncos: 7.50 – (Sea Eagles by 1.0)

Over/Under Tempo: Low tempo expected; both teams may play conservatively with an emphasis on structure and territory.

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring. This shapes as a tight contest with neither side showing clear statistical dominance, expect a methodical grind with a few key moments deciding the result.

What to do?

We have this game swinging in favour of the Broncos who are stastically playing better away that the Sea Eagles have been playing at home, best bet this week is to take the Broncos directly on the nose, or for a little more value take them at the 1-12 winning margin.

Looking at multis go the Broncos 1-12, Broncos +2.5, and the OVER 47.5 for a handy little $13.01 with Unibet as shown below.