Rabbitohs vs Warriors Prediction

Game 5 of Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 1 features the Rabbitohs vs Warriors at Accor Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors Predictions

Sunday, June 1, 2025

2:00 pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Rabbitohs

16 : 19

Warriors

Win Percentages

Rabbitohs 46.23%

Warriors 53.77%

Rabbitohs

Warriors

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the South Sydney Rabbitohs set at $2.06, and $1.75 for the New Zealand Warriors, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Rabbitohs 45.93%
Warriors 54.07%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have the Warriors slightly ahead in this one, with odds of $1.75 translating to a 54.07% implied chance of winning. Our prediction backs that up, but not quite as strongly, we’ve got the Warriors at 53.77%.

On the Rabbitohs side, they’re paying $2.06, which gives them an implied probability of 45.93%. Our model rates them just a touch higher at 46.23%.

This one’s pretty much spot on with the market, no real discrepancies to jump on. Both teams are priced fairly close to where our numbers have them, so there’s no clear value on either side.

In a match that’s looking tight from all angles, it could come down to a few key moments.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Rabbitohs vs Warriors Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Warriors by 3.1
Average Points Against Per Match: Warriors by 2
Power Rank: Warriors by 4
Average Winning Margin: Warriors by 1
SoS Adjusted Points For: Warriors by 2
Win Percentage: Warriors by 18%
Average Opponent Rank: Warriors by 4
Average Opponent Win %: Warriors by 13%
Average Opponent Points For: Rabbitohs by 2
Highest Score For: Warriors by 8
Highest Score Against: Rabbitohs by 10
Highest Total Match Score: Warriors by 7
Lowest Total Match Score: Warriors by 10
Adjusted Points For: Warriors by 2
Adjusted Points Against: Rabbitohs by 0
True Power Score (Weighted): Warriors by 2.8
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 35.4
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Rabbitohs: 9, Warriors: 5 – (Warriors by 4)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Rabbitohs: 11.67, Warriors: 11.83 – (Rabbitohs by 0.16)

Over/Under Tempo: Very low tempo expected; both sides may look to grind out territory and limit opposition chances in a controlled, defensive contest.

Game Style Prediction: Grinder. A tight, low-scoring battle likely defined by field position and defensive resilience. Small margins could prove decisive.