Rabbitohs vs Storm Prediction

Game 4 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 21 features the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm at Accor Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm Predictions

Saturday, June 21, 2025

7:35pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Rabbitohs

16 : 28

Storm

The Storm machine rolls into Sydney to face a Rabbitohs side struggling to find consistency. This has all the makings of a clinical Melbourne masterclass.

Even without home ground advantage, expect Craig Bellamy’s men to systematically dismantle the Bunnies’ defensive structures and cruise to victory.

Win Percentages

Rabbitohs
33.48%

Storm
66.52%

The Market Assessment

The bookies have Melbourne as strong favorites at $1.38, and it’s hard to argue. The Storm’s consistency and defensive prowess make them bankers most weeks.

Rabbitohs at $3.00 need everything to click, but their inconsistency this season suggests that’s unlikely against the competition’s benchmark team.

Rabbitohs

Storm

Why Melbourne Should Dominate

The Storm bring an overwhelming statistical advantage in every department. They’re scoring 16.5 more points per game while their legendary defensive systems concede 4 fewer points than the Rabbitohs.

When you combine that attacking firepower with defensive steel, plus Craig Bellamy’s meticulous preparation, it’s a recipe for Storm success.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The Storm hold comprehensive advantages:

Attack: Storm average 16.5 more points per game
Defence: Storm concede 4 fewer points per game
Power Rankings: Storm miles ahead (4.83 vs 13.33)
Win Rate: Storm winning 24% more games
Dominance: Storm averaging 19-point winning margins

Game Style Prediction: A moderate-scoring blowout where Melbourne’s structures overwhelm Souths. Expect the Storm to control possession and territory from the opening whistle.

Expected Total: 44 points – right on average with Storm doing most of the scoring

Our Betting Strategy

Safe Play: Storm to Win

Storm @ $1.38

The Storm are the competition benchmarks for a reason. Their consistency makes them ideal for multi builders looking for a reliable leg.

Value Play: Storm -8.5

Storm -8.5 @ $1.95

With our predicted 11-point margin, taking the Storm to cover the 8.5 line offers excellent value. Their ability to blow teams away makes this a smart play.

Best Bet: Winning Margin 1-12

Storm 1-12 @ $2.62

This perfectly captures our predicted margin while offering solid returns. The Storm should control the game without completely embarrassing the Rabbitohs at home.

The Upset Case

For the Rabbitohs at $3.00, they need Latrell Mitchell at his destructive best, their forward pack to match Melbourne’s intensity, and the Storm to have an uncharacteristic off night. History suggests that’s a rare occurrence.

Reality Check: The 16.5-point attacking differential is massive. The Rabbitohs simply don’t have the offensive weapons to match Melbourne’s scoring power.

The Bottom Line

This looks like a regulation Storm victory. They’re the superior team across every metric, and even on the road, their systems and structures should prove too much for an inconsistent Rabbitohs outfit.

Lock in the Storm for your multis, and consider the line bet for added value. This is about as predictable as Saturday night footy gets.

Remember to gamble responsibly.