Panthers vs Eels Prediction

Game 6 of Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 1 features the Panthers vs Eels at Commbank Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels Predictions

Sunday, June 1, 2025

4:05 pm @ CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Panthers

20 : 17

Eels

Win Percentages

Panthers 52.48%

Eels 47.52%

Panthers

Eels

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Penrith Panthers set at $1.60, and $2.32 for the Parramatta Eels, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Panthers 52.24%
Eels 47.76%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have the Panthers as slight favourites here, with odds of $1.60 giving them a 52.24% implied chance of winning. Our prediction lines up pretty closely, rating Penrith at 52.48%, almost identical to the market.

The Eels are paying $2.32, which implies a 47.76% chance. Our model has them at 47.52%, so again, not much difference there either.

With both teams priced almost bang on with our predictions, there’s no real edge to take advantage of here. The market’s nailed this one, it’s a coin flip, and the odds reflect that.

In a game this evenly matched, it might come down to a moment of brilliance or a costly mistake. No strong value play, but definitely shaping up as a tight game.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Panthers vs Eels Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Panthers by 3.7
Average Points Against Per Match: Panthers by 1.5
Power Rank: Panthers by 5
Average Winning Margin: Panthers by 5
SoS Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 3
Win Percentage: Eels by 9%
Average Opponent Rank: Eels by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Eels by 9%
Average Opponent Points For: Eels by 1
Highest Score For: Panthers by 2
Highest Score Against: Panthers by 18
Highest Total Match Score: Eels by 4
Lowest Total Match Score: Eels by 7
Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 3
Adjusted Points Against: Panthers by 0
True Power Score (Weighted): Panthers by 4
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 46.3
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Panthers: 12, Eels: 11 – (Eels by 1)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Panthers: 11.33, Eels: 11.33 – (Even)

Over/Under Tempo: Low tempo expected; both teams likely to engage in structured sets with a focus on field position and completions.

Game Style Prediction: Grinder. With little separating the sides in key metrics, expect a tough, tactical battle where territory and discipline will shape the outcome.

What to do?

This is a tough one, looking at past history I want to say that the Panthers will absolutely dominate the Eels this week but that just might not be the case, statistically leading into this match the Eels are surprisingly on par with the Panthers. Best bet this week is to take the UNDER 45.5 and hope for the best.

Looking at multis go the Panthers 1-12, Eels +4.5, and the UNDER 45.5 for a handy little $11.17 with Unibet as shown below.