Knights vs Broncos Prediction

Game 7 of Round 25 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on August 24 features the Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions

Sunday, August 24, 2025

2:00pm @ McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Final Score Prediction

Knights

16 : 27

Broncos

Sunday afternoon in the Hunter Valley presents a David versus Goliath clash as the struggling Knights host the rampaging Broncos.

Brisbane storms into McDonald Jones Stadium as overwhelming favourites, with our models predicting a comprehensive victory for the visitors.

Newcastle’s proud home support faces the harsh reality of watching their side battle against a Broncos outfit hitting peak form at the business end of the season.

Win Percentages

Knights
36.29%

Broncos
63.71%

The Market Assessment

Brisbane’s $1.30 price reflects their dominant form, though our 11-point margin suggests potential value elsewhere.

Newcastle at $3.45 appears generous only for the eternally optimistic, with the gulf in class evident across all metrics.

The 10.5-point line aligns closely with our projections, indicating the market has this contest accurately assessed.

Knights

Broncos

The Hunter Valley Mismatch

McDonald Jones Stadium’s fortress status crumbles when facing opposition of Brisbane’s calibre this season.

The Broncos’ potent attack meets a Knights defence that has leaked points with alarming regularity throughout 2025.

Our analysis points to a one-sided affair where Brisbane’s superior systems overwhelm Newcastle’s enthusiasm from the opening whistle.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The statistical chasm reveals the likely outcome:

Power Ranking: Knights 12 vs Broncos 4
Attack: Broncos averaging 13 more points per game
Defence: Brisbane’s structure far superior
Form Guide: Broncos flying, Knights floundering
Recent History: Brisbane dominant in recent clashes

Game Style Prediction: Blowout – Moderate Scoring

Expected Total: 42 points – Broncos dominance limits Knights’ scoring

Our Betting Strategy

Best Bet: Broncos 13+

@ $2.10

Our 11-point margin sits just below this threshold. Superior value than backing Brisbane outright at short odds.

Value Play: Broncos -10.5

@ $1.95

With an 11-point margin projected, Brisbane covers the line. Confidence in a comprehensive victory.

Under 46.5 Total Points

@ $1.90

Our 42-point projection comfortably stays under. Brisbane’s dominance limits Newcastle’s scoring opportunities.

The Sunday Schooling

When championship contenders meet cellar dwellers, the script often writes itself in emphatic fashion.

Brisbane’s relentless machine arrives in Newcastle ready to make a statement as the finals approach, facing minimal resistance from the struggling hosts.

Key Battle: The opening 20 minutes prove crucial. If Brisbane establishes early dominance as expected, the floodgates could open. Newcastle’s only hope lies in weathering the initial storm and keeping the margin respectable through desperate defence.