Dolphins vs Knights Prediction

Game 3 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 21 features The Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

The Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights Predictions

Saturday, June 21, 2025

5:30pm @ HBF Park, Perth

Final Score Prediction

Dolphins

27 : 17

Knights

The Dolphins continue their impressive rise, and they should have too much firepower for a Knights outfit struggling for consistency.

Playing at HBF Park in Perth, expect Wayne Bennett’s men to control the tempo and grind out a professional victory in unfamiliar territory.

Win Percentages

Dolphins
65.79%

Knights
34.21%

The Market Assessment

The bookies have this one right. Dolphins at $1.30 reflects their superior form, home advantage, and statistical dominance across the board.

Knights at $3.45 might tempt some, but they’ll need everything to go right against a Dolphins side firing on all cylinders.

Dolphins

Knights

Why The Dolphins Should Win

The stats paint a clear picture of dominance. The Dolphins are averaging a massive 15.4 more points per game while boasting a rock-solid defensive structure that the Knights have struggled to crack all season.

Add in the neutral venue at HBF Park and Wayne Bennett’s tactical nous, and this shapes as a professional victory for the more consistent side.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The Dolphins hold every statistical advantage:

Attack: Dolphins average 15.4 more points per game
Defence: Both teams concede similar points
Power Rankings: Dolphins ranked significantly higher (3.83 vs 10.33)
Win Rate: Dolphins winning 14% more games
Form: Dolphins with superior winning margin (+17 average)

Game Style Prediction: A moderate-scoring blowout where the Dolphins control field position and wear down the Knights through the middle third.

Expected Total: 44 points – right around average scoring

Our Betting Strategy

Safe Play: Dolphins to Win

Dolphins @ $1.30

Sometimes you take the short odds and bank the win. The Dolphins’ superiority makes this as close to a sure thing as you’ll find this round.

Value Play: Dolphins -10.5

Dolphins -10.5 @ $1.95

Our predicted 10-point margin sits right on this line. With the Dolphins’ attacking superiority, they should cover this spread comfortably.

Best Bet: Winning Margin 1-12

Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.75

This perfectly captures our predicted margin. The Dolphins should win comfortably without completely blowing the Knights away. Best value on the card.

The Upset Case

For the Knights at $3.45 to salute, they’ll need their forwards to dominate the middle, Kalyn Ponga to produce magic, and the Dolphins to have an off day. It’s a tall order against a team that’s been so consistent at home.

Reality Check: The 15-point differential in attacking output tells the story. The Knights simply don’t have the firepower to match the Dolphins in a shootout, even at a neutral venue.

The Bottom Line

This looks like straightforward sailing for the Dolphins. They’re the better team on paper and facing an opponent that’s struggled for consistency all season.

For multi builders, the Dolphins are your anchor bet. For those seeking value, the line and margin markets offer solid returns on what should be a comfortable victory.

Remember to gamble responsibly.