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Game 6 of Round 10 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 10 features the Cowboys vs Panthers at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.

Saturday, May 10, 2026
7:35 pm @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the North Queensland Cowboys set at $2.25, and $1.64 for the Penrith Panthers, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The bookies are giving the edge to the Panthers here, with a 59.28% implied chance of winning. But according to our analysis, that might be a touch too generous. We’ve got the Cowboys ahead at 53.64%, making this a prime value spot for North Queensland at $2.25.
This one’s closer than the odds suggest, in fact, our numbers tip the Cowboys to win it 24-22. It’s a classic case of market perception not quite matching on-field performance.
Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:
Over/Under Tempo: 43.3 – looks like a competitive, low-tempo grind on the cards.
Game Style Prediction: Grinder. Two well-matched sides likely to slug it out for the full 80 minutes.
On paper, this is tight! But the Cowboys are doing just enough to tip the scales. They’re ahead in win rate, have a slightly better power score, and they’ve been up against tougher opposition week to week. Meanwhile, the Panthers’ numbers are strong but not dominant.
With the market pricing the Panthers as clear favourites, that opens the door for a value play on the Cowboys. At $2.25 and a modelled win probability of 53.64%, they’re offering up one of the strongest betting edges of the round.
I’m not entirely sure what has happened to the Panthers this year to have such a significant fall from grace, surprisingly the bookies still have them floating around the $11.00 mark to take the premiership all while sitting at third from the bottom of the ladder!
Both prediction and tempo are set below the anticipated 47.5 points by the bookies, so betting on the UNDER is a solid bet.
Cowboys have a slight upper hand here but the Panthers have a golden opportunity to rise from the ashes and begin clawing their way back to the top.
Unibet is paying $13.36 for the Panthers -3.5, UNDER 48.5, Cowboys 1-12 winning margin multi.
Suggested Betting Tip:
UNDER 48.5 @ $1.90 with Unibet
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H-2-H Bet:
Cowboys @ $2.25 with Unibet
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Line Bet:
Panthers -3.5 @ $1.85 with Unibet
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Winning Margin Bet:
Cowboys 1-12 @ $3.80 with Unibet
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Check out all this weeks NRL Multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.
Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.
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