AFL Betting Tips Round 3

Ben H / 27 March 2024

Last Updated on 28 March 2024

Round 3 Tips & Score Predictions

3Brisbane Lions Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
3Kangaroos Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 97 71.67%
3Fremantle Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 76 27.41%
3Essendon
3Port Adelaide Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
3Western Bulldogs North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 76 27.41%
3Richmond Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 98 71.63%
3Hawthorn
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 87 65.45%
Column to hide Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 73 33.45%
after pasting
game keys above Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 75 31.15%
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 92 67.89%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 90 58.96%
Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 82 39.89%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 108 86.00%
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 68 13.36%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 86 35.85%
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 100 63.18%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 77 33.62%
Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 92 65.35%

Betting Tips & Previews

 

Brisbane Lions v Collingwood

Thursday 28 March 2024 – 7:30pm @ Gabba, Brisbane

In a critical grand final rematch, the winless Brisbane Lions are set to take on the Collingwood Magpies at the Gabba in the first game of Round 3.

Both teams need a win, with the Magpies experiencing their worst start since 1999 and Brisbane looking to avoid their first 0-3 start since 2018. Brisbane’s last outing was a letdown against Fremantle, and they’re now set for a comeback, potentially with Lachie Neale returning from injury. However, they’ll be without Tom Doedee due to a reinjured ACL.

Collingwood’s recent form has been more than underwhelming, highlighted by their surprise loss to St Kilda. The Magpies will be looking to break a streak of losses against Brisbane at the Gabba, a venue that has seen the Lions win their last three games against the maggies at home.

The stakes are high for both teams, with Brisbane aiming for redemption from their grand final defeat and Collingwood striving to turn their season around. Given their recent head-to-head record and Brisbane’s strong performance in night matches against Collingwood, the Lions enter as favourites.

Betting tip: Brisbane Lions

Suggested bet: Lions Head-to-Head with Neds @ $1.42

 

North Melbourne v Carlton

Friday 29 March 2024 – 4:20pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Good Friday at Marvel Stadium, the stage is set for Carlton to take on North Melbourne in a match that’s crucial for both teams.

Carlton, coming off a bye with a strong start at 2-0 (opening round and Round 1), looks to continue their winning momentum against a struggling North Melbourne side that has won only one of their last 23 matches. With the Blues’ key player Harry McKay showing formidable form and North Melbourne’s defence leaking points, Carlton are without a doubt the clear favourites.

North Melbourne’s recent record at Marvel Stadium is far from impressive, with losses stacking up. On the other hand, Carlton has dominated past encounters with North Melbourne at this venue, adding to the Kangaroos’ woes.

Carlton looks set to extend their winning streak this week and will firmly take a seat near the top of the ladder.

Betting tip: Carlton Blues

Suggested bet: Blues by 40+ with Neds @ $2.10

 

Fremantle v Adelaide Crows

Friday 29 March 2024 – 7:20pm @ Optus Stadium, Perth

This Good Friday, Fremantle and Adelaide are set to clash at Optus Stadium, marking their first meeting in Perth since 2018.

Fremantle’s off to a flying start at 2-0, bouncing back impressively in Round 2 against North Melbourne with a standout performance from Luke Jackson. Adelaide on the other hand is struggling early in this season with back-to-back losses, extending a poor run of interstate results.

Despite recent history, Adelaide’s last victory over Fremantle was a comfortable win at the Adelaide Oval in 2023. The Crows have, however, been competitive at Optus Stadium, covering the line in their last four visits.

Player form, notably Taylor Walker’s goal-scoring streak and Andrew Brayshaw’s disposal tally, will be key. Adelaide’s challenge will be to contain Fremantle’s momentum and reverse their own fortunes away from home.

Considering both teams’ starts to the season and historical performance at this venue, Fremantle enters as favourites. However, Adelaide’s knack for covering the line at Optus Stadium suggests a potentially closer contest than the odds might indicate.

Betting tip: Fremantle Dockers

Suggested bet: Dockers by 1-39 with Neds @ $2.95

 

Essendon v St Kilda

Saturday 30 March 2024 – 4:20pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday afternoon at Marvel Stadium, Essendon and St Kilda are set to go head-to-head, both holding a win and a loss from their first two matches of 2024.

The Bombers are back on home turf after a tough loss to Sydney, missing key players but expecting the return of Mason Redman, while St Kilda aims to build on their victory over Collingwood despite facing their own injury concerns.

Last season saw St Kilda overcome Essendon with standout performances, making this upcoming clash one to watch, especially with both sides facing significant lineup changes.
The history of underdog victories in this fixture adds an extra layer of unpredictability to the match.

With key players like Jake Stringer and Zach Merrett for Essendon and Jack Sinclair and Tim Membrey for St Kilda, individual performances could be decisive.

Given the recent tight contests at Marvel Stadium and both teams’ resilience, this game is shaping up to be a closely contested affair, with the potential for either side to snatch victory.

Betting tip: St Kilda Saints

Suggested bet: Saints Head-to-Head with Neds @ $2.30

 

Port Adelaide v Melbourne

Saturday 30 March 2024 – 7:30pm @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Saturday night at the Adelaide Oval, Port Adelaide is facing Melbourne in one of the most important games this week.

Both teams are coming off victories last week, with Port Adelaide winning by 30 points against Richmond and Melbourne easily handling Hawthorn (93-38), despite injury concerns with key defenders Steven May and Jake Lever.

The Demons’ track record without May hints at vulnerability, yet they’ve been strong underdogs, winning 11 of their last 13 underdog games. Last year’s nail-biter saw Port narrowly beating Melbourne, spotlighting Zak Butters’ remarkable performance.

Given both teams’ form and historical encounters leaning towards low-scoring affairs, this match promises intensity. With Port Adelaide’s home advantage and Melbourne’s underdog tenacity, it’s going to be an interesting game. However, considering Port Adelaide’s strong start and home-ground advantage, they should pull off the win here.

Betting tip: Port Adelaide Power

Suggested bet: Power to win by 1-39 with Neds @ $2.10

 

Western Bulldogs v West Coast Eagles

Sunday 31 March 2024 – 1:00pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Sunday afternoon at Marvel Stadium, the Western Bulldogs will host the West Coast Eagles, echoing the memory of last year’s stunning upset where the Eagles, despite being heavy underdogs, clinched a victory.

The Bulldogs, after a commanding performance against Gold Coast, have momentum on their side, particularly with Cody Weightman in formidable goal-scoring form. In contrast, the Eagles are once again struggling to find their footing this season, highlighted by significant away losses.

Given the Bulldogs’ solid performance and the Eagles’ continued lack of form, the Bulldogs enter as strong favourites.

Ultimately, considering the Bulldogs’ home advantage and the Eagles’ persistent challenges, the Western Bulldogs are set to notch another win on their belt.

Betting tip: Western Bulldogs

Suggested bet: Bulldogs to win by 1-39 with Neds @ $2.70

 

Richmond v Sydney Swans

Sunday 31 March 2024 – 4:00pm @ MCG, Melbourne

The undefeated Sydney Swans are set to challenge the winless Richmond Tigers this Sunday afternoon at the MCG.

The Swans, boasting an impressive start to the season with three straight wins and a high-scoring average, look to continue their momentum, led by Isaac Heeney’s exceptional form.

Richmond, facing a tough start with three consecutive losses, aims to rediscover its form, drawing hope from their last meeting where they secured a win against Sydney.

Richmond’s recent form and the Swans’ strong performance make Sydney the clear favourites. With the Tigers struggling to find consistency and Sydney excelling both offensively and defensively, the Swans are expected to dominate.

Betting tip: Sydney Swans

Suggested bet: Swans Head-to-Head with Neds @ $3.35

 

Hawthorn v Geelong Cats

Monday 1 April 2024 – 3:20pm @ MCG, Melbourne

This Easter Monday at the MCG, Hawthorn faces Geelong in their annual Easter weekend game.

The Hawks are looking to rebound from a heavy defeat by Melbourne, and the Cats are riding high after a surprise win over Adelaide.

Geelong’s form has been bolstered by stellar performances, including Tom Hawkins, set to celebrate his 350th game. However, Patrick Dangerfield’s injury could impact their midfield.

Despite Hawthorn’s recent struggles, historical matchups have been tightly contested with these two, suggesting potential for a closer game than form alone might indicate.

Given Geelong’s strong start to the season and Hawthorn’s form concerns, the Cats are the favourites; with Geelong’s consistent performance and scoring ability, they are set to secure another win against the Hawks.

Betting tip: Geelong Cats

Suggested bet: Cats to win by 1-39 with Neds @ $2.10


 

This week’s AFL Multi

  • Blues
  • Dockers
  • Bulldogs
  • Cats

Check out all multis on our Multi Bets Page

 

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

 

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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