Gold Coast vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

Gold Coast SUNS vs Sydney Swans Predictions

Game 7 of Round 7 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees Gold Coast vs Sydney on April 27 at the MCG on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Sunday, April 27, 2025

1:15 pm AEDT @ People First Stadium, Gold Coast

Final Score Prediction

Suns

88 : 79

Swans

Win Percentages

Gold Coast 62.63%

Sydney 37.37%

SUNS

Sydney

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Gold Coast SUNS set at $1.47, and $2.70 for the Sydney Swans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

SUNS 64.75%
Swans 35.25%

Opportunity Bet

The bookies and our model are actually pretty close on this one, but there’s still a sneaky bit of value to be found. The market has the Suns at 64.75%, while we’ve got them just a touch lower at 62.63%.

The Swans are where the value starts to show. The market reckons they’ve only got a 35.25% chance, but our analysis gives them a slightly stronger shot at 37.37%.

That gives a small edge. Based on our numbers, the Swans should be closer to $2.68, yet Unibet is offering $2.70. It’s a marginal value, not massive, but if you’re shopping for underdog angles, it’s there.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Now let’s look at how these two stack up across the power rankings:

Overall Power Ranking: Suns 13th vs Swans 16th
Score Rank: Suns 3rd (home) vs Swans 16th (away)
Balanced Power Score: Suns 12th vs Swans 14th
Points For Per Match: Suns 9th vs Swans 7th
Points Against Rank: Suns 13th vs Swans 4th
Win % Rank: Suns 1st (home) vs Swans 3rd (away)
Total Power Rank Score: Suns 8.50 vs Swans 10.00

What to do?

The Suns have been outstanding at home, top of the table for home win percentage and 3rd in home scoring. But the Swans’ defence away from home is one of the best in the league, which keeps them in the contest.

Gold Coast deserve to be favourites, especially at home, but Sydney’s strong defensive numbers and tight win probability suggest this could be closer than the odds suggest. At $2.70, there’s just enough value on the Swans to make it a worthwhile underdog punt, though their away score rank is concerning.

Best to go the UNDER 177.5 for value, or if you’re feeling a little more lucky go the SUNS 1-39 for even more.

Suggested Betting Tip:

UNDER 177.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

SUNS @ $1.47 with
Unibet

Line Bet:

Gold Coast -12.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

SUNS 1-39 @ $2.02 with
Unibet

Gold Coast vs Sydney SGM