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Roosters vs Dragons Prediction
Sydney Roosters vs St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Game 2 of Round 8 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 25 features the Roosters vs Dragons at Allianz Stadium on Friday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, and Nine Now.
Friday, April 25, 2026
4:00 pm @ Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Final Score Prediction
Roosters14 : 23
Dragons 
Win Percentages
Roosters 38.66%
Dragons 61.34%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Boombet had the head to head for Sydney Roosters is set at $1.82, and $2.00 for the St. George Illawarra Dragons, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Opportunity Bet
The bookies have the Roosters slightly ahead, giving them a 52.37% chance of getting the win, while pricing the Dragons at $2.00. But our numbers flip that around, we’ve got the Dragons winning this one 61.34% of the time.
That’s a decent gap, and it gives us a tidy little edge. Based on our analysis, the true odds for the Dragons should be closer to $1.63, yet the bookies are offering $2.00. That’s solid value in our books.
To sum it up, the Dragons are flying under the radar here. The Roosters might be favourites with the bookies, but our data tells a different story. If we’re on the money, backing the Dragons at $2.00 is a value play that could deliver a nice return over time.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Let’s have a look at how the teams line up based on performance data:
- Overall Power Ranking: Roosters 4th vs Dragons 13th
- Score Rank (Home vs Away): Roosters 13th vs Dragons 2nd
- Balanced Power Score: Roosters 5th vs Dragons 14th
- Points For (Home): Roosters 16th vs Dragons 10th
- Points Against (Home): Roosters 17th vs Dragons 7th
- Win % Rank (Home): Roosters 16th vs Dragons 3rd
- Total Power Rank Score: Roosters 11.83 vs Dragons 8.17
Despite the Roosters being ranked higher overall, they’ve struggled at home across almost every key stat. The Dragons, on the other hand, are thriving away, ranked 2nd in scoring and 3rd in away win rate.
What to do?
This one’s being mispriced. The Dragons are in better form, especially on the road, and our model strongly favours them. At $2.00, there’s a solid value edge in backing St. George to get the win.
We’re not looking at a huge margin between these two with a low scoring 37 point estimate, and with the over/under set at 45.5 the UNDER is a good way to go, the Dragons +2.5 line is also a solid option considering they’re looking to beat them by around 10 points, but in all honesty, throw both of them in a multi and put the Dragons 1-12 winning margin in there as a stand alone bet and also in the multi for some good solid coverage.
Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Dragons by 5.6
- Average Points Against Per Match: Dragons by 9
- Power Rank: Dragons by 9
- Average Winning Margin: Roosters by 4
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 0
- Win Percentage: Dragons by 21%
- Average Opponent Rank: Dragons by 4
- Average Opponent Win Percentage: Dragons by 23%
- Average Opponent Points For: Roosters by 3
- Highest Score For: Even
- Highest Score Against: Dragons by 22
- Highest Total Match Score: Roosters by 16
- Lowest Total Match Score: Roosters by 2
- Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 0
- Adjusted Points Against: Dragons by 7
- True Power Score (Weighted): Dragons by 7.8
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 45.3
- Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
Check out all this weeks NRL Multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.
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