Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Prediction

Ben H
18 March 2025
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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies Predictions

The 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership Tips and Predictions for Round 2 on Friday night March 20, between the Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is set to be one of the better matches this week.  You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 

Wester Bulldogs vs Collingwood

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood

Friday, March 21, 2026

7:40 pm @ The MCG, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Western Bulldogs Bulldogs

99 : 95

Magpies Collingwood Magpies

Win Percentages

Western Bulldogs 54.5%
Collingwood 45.5%

 

Bulldogs





Collingwood

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Western Bulldogs set at $2.25, and $1.64 for the Collingwood Magpies, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Bulldogs

42.16%
Magpies

57.84%

 

Review

It’s Friday night footy at the MCG, and Collingwood is out to prove their dominant win last week wasn’t a one-off as they take on the Bulldogs in a massive clash! ⚫⚪

The Magpies silenced their critics with a 136-45 demolition of Port Adelaide–their biggest win since 2012. After a shaky Round 1 loss to GWS, they’re now looking to make another statement.

The Bulldogs kicked off their season with a 113-97 win over North Melbourne, but they’ll again be missing key stars Marcus Bontempelli, Adam Treloar, Cody Weightman, Jason Johannisen, and Liam Jones. That could be a major factor–when they last met Collingwood, Bont and Treloar combined for 75 disposals, 37 contested possessions, and three goals in a Bulldogs victory.

Stats suggest the Bulldogs have the edge, averaging 113 points per game to Collingwood’s 94.

Opportunity Bet

The bookmakers are undervaluing the Western Bulldogs, giving them only a 42.16% chance of winning, while our analysis suggests they actually have a 54.5% chance.

This creates a betting edge on the Bulldogs. If our analysis holds, their fair odds should be closer to $1.83, but the bookies are offering $2.25–indicating some real value in backing the Bulldogs at those odds.

On the flip side, Collingwood appears to be slightly overvalued by the bookmakers, with their implied probability at 57.84%, while our analysis suggests they should only be at 45.5%.

Final Take

Bulldogs present a strong value bet at $2.25, as the bookmakers may be underestimating their actual chances.
Collingwood’s odds don’t offer much value, as they appear to be slightly overestimated.

If you’re looking for a smart play, the Bulldogs at $2.25 could be a great value pick!

Suggested Betting Tip:

Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Western Bulldogs @ $2.25 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Bulldogs +7.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 175.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

 Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood SGM

Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Head-to-Head Stats (2026 Season)

  • Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 113.0, Collingwood: 94.0 – (Western Bulldogs by 19 points)
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 97.0, Collingwood: 74.5 – (Collingwood by 22.5 points)
  • Average Winning Margin: Western Bulldogs: 16.0, Collingwood: 91.0 – (Collingwood by 75 points)
  • Average Losing Margin: Western Bulldogs: N/A, Collingwood: 52.0
  • HT/FT Double %: Western Bulldogs: 100.0%, Collingwood: 50.0% – (Western Bulldogs by 50%)
  • Highest Score For: Western Bulldogs: 113, Collingwood: 136 – (Collingwood by 23 points)
  • Highest Score Against: Western Bulldogs: 97, Collingwood: 104 – (Collingwood by 7 points)
  • Biggest Win: Western Bulldogs: 16, Collingwood: 91 – (Collingwood by 75 points)
  • Biggest Loss: Western Bulldogs: N/A, Collingwood: 52
  • Highest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 210, Collingwood: 181 – (Western Bulldogs by 29 points)
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Western Bulldogs: 210, Collingwood: 156 – (Western Bulldogs by 54 points)
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Western Bulldogs: 65.4%, Collingwood: 54.0% – (Western Bulldogs by 11.4%)
  • Goal Accuracy Against %: Western Bulldogs: 58.3%, Collingwood: 52.5% – (Western Bulldogs by 5.8%)
  • Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: W1, Collingwood: W1 – (Even)
  • Current Form: Western Bulldogs: W, Collingwood: LW – (Western Bulldogs by 1 win)
  • Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 0.0%, Collingwood: 0.0% – (Even)
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 100.0%, Collingwood: 100.0% – (Even)
  • Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Western Bulldogs: 0.0%, Collingwood: 0.0% – (Even)

2026 AFL Premiership Season – Round 2 Schedule

Carlton vs Hawthorn

  • Thursday, March 20, 2026
  • 7:30 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne

Footscray vs Collingwood

  • Friday, March 21, 2026
  • 7:40 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne

Essendon vs Adelaide Crows

  • Saturday, March 22, 2026
  • 1:20 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne

Port Adelaide vs Richmond

  • Saturday, March 22, 2026
  • 4:15 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

St Kilda vs Geelong Cats

Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles

  • Sunday, March 23, 2026
  • 1:10 pm AEDT @ Gabba, Brisbane

North Melbourne vs Melbourne

  • Sunday, March 23, 2026
  • 3:20 pm AEDT @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Fremantle vs Sydney Swans


Related:

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

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Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact