AFL Betting Tips Round 13
AFL Tips & Predictions – Round 13 The 2026 Toyota…
The 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership Tips and Predictions for Round 2 on Friday night March 20, between the Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood is set to be one of the better matches this week. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7.
Friday, March 21, 2026
7:40 pm @ The MCG, Melbourne
At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Western Bulldogs set at $2.25, and $1.64 for the Collingwood Magpies, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
It’s Friday night footy at the MCG, and Collingwood is out to prove their dominant win last week wasn’t a one-off as they take on the Bulldogs in a massive clash! ⚫⚪
The Magpies silenced their critics with a 136-45 demolition of Port Adelaide–their biggest win since 2012. After a shaky Round 1 loss to GWS, they’re now looking to make another statement.
The Bulldogs kicked off their season with a 113-97 win over North Melbourne, but they’ll again be missing key stars Marcus Bontempelli, Adam Treloar, Cody Weightman, Jason Johannisen, and Liam Jones. That could be a major factor–when they last met Collingwood, Bont and Treloar combined for 75 disposals, 37 contested possessions, and three goals in a Bulldogs victory.
Stats suggest the Bulldogs have the edge, averaging 113 points per game to Collingwood’s 94.
The bookmakers are undervaluing the Western Bulldogs, giving them only a 42.16% chance of winning, while our analysis suggests they actually have a 54.5% chance.
This creates a betting edge on the Bulldogs. If our analysis holds, their fair odds should be closer to $1.83, but the bookies are offering $2.25–indicating some real value in backing the Bulldogs at those odds.
On the flip side, Collingwood appears to be slightly overvalued by the bookmakers, with their implied probability at 57.84%, while our analysis suggests they should only be at 45.5%.
Bulldogs present a strong value bet at $2.25, as the bookmakers may be underestimating their actual chances.
Collingwood’s odds don’t offer much value, as they appear to be slightly overestimated.
If you’re looking for a smart play, the Bulldogs at $2.25 could be a great value pick!
Suggested Betting Tip:
Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75 with
Ladbrokes
H-2-H Bet:
Western Bulldogs @ $2.25 with
Ladbrokes
Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood SGM
Footscray vs Collingwood
Essendon vs Adelaide Crows
St Kilda vs Geelong Cats
Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles
Fremantle vs Sydney Swans
Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.
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