West Coast vs Fremantle Prediction

So while Freo are still the better side on paper, the market has massively undercut West Coast’s chances. Our numbers show they’re more than just a longshotm they’ve got a genuine crack at causing an upset here.

If the Eagles have a 35.5% win chance, their true odds should be closer to $2.82, not the whopping $4.20 that’s currently available. That’s a huge edge, and a potential value bomb for punters willing to back the underdog.

What to do?

The edge sits with West Coast. The market’s giving them just a 22.78% shot, but our data puts them well above that. At $4.20, there’s a heap of value backing the Eagles in this derby clash.

a 1-39 winning margin is a solid team betting option as these two rarely break the 40+ margin and haven’t done so in the past few years but betting on either team in a game that can go either way is not a good way to play the game, best to steer clear of the 25.5 Line this week as it can go either way (especially considering it is the homeground for both teams).

We’ve got the Dockers taking it this week, the Eagles need the win more, but only by points, these two are as bad as each other at the moment.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: West Coast: 62.0, Fremantle: 67.0 – (Fremantle by 5 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: West Coast: 115.0, Fremantle: 107.5 – (Fremantle by 7.5 points)
• Average Winning Margin: West Coast: N/A, Fremantle: N/A – (Even)
• Average Losing Margin: West Coast: 53.0, Fremantle: 40.5 – (Fremantle by 12.5 points)
• HT/FT Double %: West Coast: 0.0%, Fremantle: 0.0% – (Even)
• Highest Score For: West Coast: 75, Fremantle: 69 – (West Coast by 6 points)
• Highest Score Against: West Coast: 136, Fremantle: 147 – (Fremantle better by 11 points)
• Biggest Win: West Coast: N/A, Fremantle: N/A – (Even)
• Biggest Loss: West Coast: 87, Fremantle: 78 – (Fremantle more resilient by 9 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: West Coast: 185, Fremantle: 216 – (Fremantle by 31 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: West Coast: 169, Fremantle: 133 – (Fremantle lower by 36 points)
• Goal Accuracy For %: West Coast: 56.3%, Fremantle: 57.6% – (Fremantle by 1.3%)
• Goal Accuracy Against %: West Coast: 64.2%, Fremantle: 62.7% – (Fremantle by 1.5%)
• Current Streak: West Coast: L2, Fremantle: L2 – (Even)
• Current Form: West Coast: LL, Fremantle: LL – (Even)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): West Coast: 100.0%, Fremantle: 100.0% – (Even)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): West Coast: 0.0%, Fremantle: 0.0% – (Even)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): West Coast: 0.0%, Fremantle: 0.0% – (Even)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Fremantle won by 35 points (110–75) on 27th July 2024