Brisbane vs Gold Coast Prediction

The Betting Edge

The bookies have Brisbane as clear favourites at 63.43%, but our numbers flip the script, showing Gold Coast should actually be the favourites, winning 57.15% of the time based on recent form and underlying metrics.

At odds of $2.60, the Suns are a serious value play here. If you’re hunting for a bet with genuine upside, Gold Coast are absolutely worth a look!

Power Rankings Breakdown

Let’s see how the two teams stack up across the board:

• Predicted Final Score: Brisbane 81 – 103 Gold Coast
• Average Points For: Brisbane 93.86, Gold Coast 108.00 (Suns by 14.14 points)
• Average Points Against: Brisbane 83.29, Gold Coast 74.83 (Suns by 8.46 points)
• Win Percentage: Brisbane 85.71%, Gold Coast 83.33% (Lions slightly ahead by 2.38%)
• Adjusted Points For: Brisbane 90.94, Gold Coast 98.70 (Suns by 7.76 points)
• Adjusted Points Against: Brisbane 84.16, Gold Coast 88.63 (Brisbane slightly ahead)
• Over/Under Tempo: 181.2 (Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game)
• Game Style Prediction: High Tempo Game

What to do?

Gold Coast are sitting proudly in 1st spot on the power rankings, while Brisbane are still strong at 7th, but that’s a serious 6-place gap in the Suns’ favour.

In True Power Score terms, it’s even clearer: Suns at a mighty 2.20 compared to the Lions’ 6.20, giving Gold Coast a 4-point edge overall.

Gold Coast have shown more firepower this season, leading in average points for, highest match score, and winning margin. Brisbane have had slightly tougher opponents, but Gold Coast’s form against quality teams has been elite.

All signs point to the Suns being a live underdog here, and at $2.60, they’re shaping as one of the best value plays of the round. If you’re keen to back some upside, the Suns could shine bright in this one!

All options for betting on the SUNS look decent however, best bet is to take them at the 1-39 for some serious value, Unibet has one of the best prices around currently at $3.00.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Brisbane: 93.86, Gold Coast: 108.00 – (Gold Coast by 14.14 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Brisbane: 83.29, Gold Coast: 74.83 – (Gold Coast by 8.46 points)
• Power Rank: Brisbane: 7, Gold Coast: 1 – (Gold Coast by 6)
• Average Winning Margin: Brisbane: 21.00, Gold Coast: 42.00 – (Gold Coast by 21 points)
• SoS Adjusted Points For: Brisbane: 90.94, Gold Coast: 98.70 – (Gold Coast by 7.76 points)
• Win Percentage: Brisbane: 85.71%, Gold Coast: 83.33% – (Brisbane by 2.38%)
• Average Opponent Rank: Brisbane: 5.71, Gold Coast: 5.38 – (Gold Coast by 0.33 ranks)
• Average Opponent Win %: Brisbane: 66.67%, Gold Coast: 63.10% – (Brisbane by 3.57%)
• Average Opponent Points For: Brisbane: 88.71, Gold Coast: 100.29 – (Brisbane by 11.58 points)
• Highest Score For: Brisbane: 118.00, Gold Coast: 136.00 – (Gold Coast by 18 points)
• Highest Score Against: Brisbane: 105.00, Gold Coast: 90.00 – (Gold Coast by 15 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: Brisbane: 215.00, Gold Coast: 204.00 – (Brisbane by 11 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Brisbane: 131.00, Gold Coast: 149.00 – (Brisbane by 18 points)
• Adjusted Points For: Brisbane: 90.94, Gold Coast: 98.70 – (Gold Coast by 7.76 points)
• Adjusted Points Against: Brisbane: 84.16, Gold Coast: 88.63 – (Brisbane by 4.47 points)
• True Power Score (Weighted): Brisbane: 6.20, Gold Coast: 2.20 – (Gold Coast by 4 points)
• OVER/UNDER Tempo: 181.2
• Game Style Prediction: High Tempo Game