Eels vs Sharks Prediction
This is the game where I disagree with the bookies…

Parramatta are out of the finals race. The Cowboys are eighth and climbing. I have North Queensland by six on Saturday evening, which gets them over five and a half. I also have this game a long way short of fifty and a half, and that is the bigger call of the two.
$1.55
$1.87
$1.89
$11.72
Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365
Odds correct at time of posting
Eighth against thirteenth. One side is still playing for something, the other is not.
I have the Cowboys by six, so the line is fair. The total is where the real gap is, and that is the one I am leading with.
The Cowboys are still playing without Tom Dearden, and reports this week credit Jake Clifford and Jaxon Purdue with carrying the attack in his absence. The side that beat the Titans comes back largely intact. Settled and winning is not something Parramatta can say right now.
I have this game at thirty eight points and the market wants fifty and a half. That is twelve and a half points of disagreement, against half a point of edge on the line. The under is the bet. The line is the one I take second. Parramatta are the lower scoring side here and their recent games have been tight, low affairs. The Cowboys did ship eighty two to the Roosters a fortnight ago, so it is not free money, but that was one night against a very different attack.
Parramatta have won the last three, the most recent 33-30. A three point game is not evidence that anyone owns anyone. I cannot point you at some Parramatta trick that keeps working, and I am not going to make one up to sell you a bet. What I can point at is the table. The Cowboys are eighth and chasing a finals spot, the Eels are thirteenth and done.
The Eels trailed the Rabbitohs 28-0 at half time and came within four points of the biggest comeback in NRL history. A side that does that is not a side that quits. It is why I am not asking the Cowboys for more than a converted try.
I have the Cowboys winning by a converted try on Saturday evening, which gets them over a line of five and a half. The under fifty and a half is the stronger bet of the two.
I am not asking the Cowboys for more than a converted try, and I am not expecting much on the scoreboard either way. Take the under fifty and a half at $1.89 first, then the Cowboys at five and a half at $1.87. Odds correct Saturday morning, check your app before you bet.
Tallyn Da Silva to score a try, $4.00. He crossed last start and that’s two on the bounce, a try in three of his last six. Happy to build the multi around him at $4.00.
Braidon Burns to score a try, $1.69. Two of his last seven games were doubles, and he has a try in three of that run. With North Queensland getting up by a converted try on Saturday evening there’ll be chances at his end, which is why $1.69 is what it is.
Jake Clifford to score a try, $3.25. Scored last start, and that’s a try in three of his last seven. $3.25 is a fair price for a bloke in a side I have winning the game.
These prop odds are Sportsbet’s, correct at time of posting. Prices move, so check before you bet and take the best one going. Late team changes can knock out any leg.
| Match | Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys |
| Date | Saturday, August 15 |
| Kick-off | 5:30pm AEST |
| Venue | CommBank Stadium |
| Round | NRL Round 24 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Multi: Cowboys Win, Under 50.5 points & Tallyn Da Silva Anytime Try @ $11.72 |
| Predicted Score | Parramatta Eels 16 – North Queensland Cowboys 22 |
The Cowboys, by about a converted try. They sit eighth and are fighting for a finals spot while the Eels are thirteenth and out of the race.
My headline multi at $11.72 takes the straight win with the total and a player prop, Tallyn Da Silva Anytime Try. The win leg anchors it this week; the line bet on the card still stands as its own play.
No. I have it at thirty eight points, well under the fifty and a half the market wants, because Parramatta are the lower scoring side and their recent games have been tight.
The Eels play the Dolphins - at Suncorp Stadium on Friday 21 August in NRL Round 25.
The Cowboys have the bye in NRL Round 25.