Roosters vs Dolphins Prediction

NRL Round 26 • 2026

Model Predicted Final Score

SYD

$1.58

Saturday, August 29 • 5:30pm AEST

27 : 15

Allianz Stadium

DOL

$2.38

Roosters by 12 points

Model Predicted Margin

Roosters by 12

Current Market

Roosters -4.5

7.5 pts edge

Our Bets This Game

H2HRoosters to win

$1.58

LINERoosters -4.5

$1.90

TOTALUnder 47.5 points

$1.98

MULTIRoosters -4.5, Under 47.5 points & Jamayne Isaako Anytime Try

$7.41

Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365

Odds correct at time of posting

The Dolphins Put Forty Eight On The Roosters In Round 15. Both Team Lists Are Out With Nothing In Them To Move Me, And This One Is At Allianz.

Two sides separated by one ladder spot and the market has settled on four and a half points. That is a short number for a side with a 12-6 win over the Panthers sitting on this form guide.

The bit people are getting wrong this week is the loss. The Roosters did not get shut down by the Tigers, they put twenty four on and lost it by a point. If you have them down as a side that cannot score, you are watching a different game to me.

I make it 27-15. The head to head at $1.58 is the straightforward part, the four and a half is where I want my money, and forty seven and a half is high for a Roosters home game.

The team lists, and what they change

Nat Butcher starts at lock with Victor Radley out, and Cody Ramsey is named among the reserves. The Dolphins have gone again with the side that beat the Eels, with Max Plath back in the second row. So: a fullback back for Sydney, no late surprises anywhere else, and neither list is short of anything that changes my number. If you read this page yesterday, that is the only update.

Round 15 is the elephant, and I am not stepping around it

The Dolphins beat this Roosters side 48-10 in Round 15. That is real and I am not going to talk around it. What I will say is that these two have handed out a 48-10 and a 64-12 in the space of two seasons, so the head to head tells you plenty about how wild the scorelines get in this fixture and nothing useful about a four and a half point handicap. The Roosters have not defended like that since, and I am not pricing this one off that result.

Losing to the Tigers is the reason this price exists

The Roosters got beaten 24-25 by the Wests Tigers at home last week and dropped to third for it. That is the loss doing the work in this market, and it is the reason you are getting four and a half instead of seven. Read it properly though. They lost it by a point after scoring plenty, not because they went missing. Before that they had won every other game on this form guide, including 12-6 over the Panthers, and that is a level of defence you do not lose in seven days.

The Dolphins keep conceding early

Five straight wins is a serious run and I am not dismissing it. But the official preview flags conceding early points as a habit for this Dolphins side, naming the Broncos game and last week against the Eels. They have had the class to come back from it both times. Doing it against this Roosters pack at Allianz is a different ask.

Roosters vs Dolphins Tip

Roosters by twelve at Allianz Stadium. They win these by squeezing the life out of the game, and the Dolphins keep giving sides a start.

Roosters vs Dolphins Key Stats

Roosters vs Dolphins Form Guide

Player Prop Predictions

Robert Toia to score a try, $2.65. Robert Toia crossed last start and he has a try in three of his last six, which is a fair strike rate for a bloke on a side tipped to squeeze the Dolphins out of the contest at Allianz. Roosters winning by twelve means someone in the outside backs is finishing plenty.

Jamayne Isaako to score a try, $1.97. Jamayne Isaako bagged a double last start and he has scored in five of his last seven, so the form is as steady as it looks. Redcliffe give sides too much early, and that means Jamayne Isaako gets his chances at the other end regardless of how the scoreboard reads.

These prop odds are Sportsbet’s, correct at time of posting. Prices move, so check before you bet and take the best one going. Late team changes can knock out any leg.