Eels vs Sharks Prediction
This is the game where I disagree with the bookies…
Sea Eagles vs Dragons Prediction
Manly need this one and the Dragons are the ideal opponent. The Sea Eagles are still alive for the eight, they are giving up 7.5 points at their own ground, and I think that number is too small rather than too big.
NRL Round 26 • 2026
Model Predicted Final Score
MAN
$1.41
Friday, August 28 • 6:00pm AEST
25 : 14
4 Pines Park
STI
$2.93
Sea Eagles by 11 points
Model Predicted Margin
Sea Eagles by 11
Current Market
Sea Eagles -7.5
3.5 pts edge
Our Bets This Game
H2HEagles to win
$1.41
LINEEagles -7.5
$1.85
TOTALUnder 48.5 points
$1.90
MULTIEagles -7.5 & Under 48.5
$3.52
Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365
Odds correct at time of posting
Sea Eagles Are Still Alive For The Eight. Dragons Are Already Playing For Next Year.
Manly are tenth with two rounds to play and they are not out of this yet. Win both and they finish level with the Cowboys on competition points, with a far healthier differential to break the tie.
So the motivation is not in question. How much they win by is, and that is where I think the bookies have been too polite to the visitors.
St George have scored fewer points than any side in the competition. They arrive at a suburban ground against a side with a reason to play, and there is no version of this where they control the tempo.
The risk is Manly being Manly. They have gone missing more than once this season, and if this turns into a scrappy arm wrestle the handicap gets awkward in a hurry.
But the Sea Eagles won in Newcastle last week and they were not flattered by it. A side with a season on the line at home against the bottom club should be winning this by double figures.
Eagles vs Dragons Tip
Sea Eagles by eleven at 4 Pines Park, because Manly still have a finals path to protect and the Dragons have nothing left to protect.
Eagles vs Dragons Key Stats
POINTS FOR
MAN25
STI16
St George’s inability to post a score is why I am happy giving up points with Manly.
POINTS AGAINST
MAN22
STI30
The Dragons concede at a rate that turns a close game into a comfortable one by the hour mark.
LINE BREAKS
MAN6
STI4
Manly break the line far more often, and line breaks are what turn a seven point win into an eleven point one.
Eagles vs Dragons Form Guide
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
LLLLW
- R20: L 32-38 vs Titans
- R21: L 12-48 vs Sharks
- R23: L 20-42 vs Storm
- R24: L 0-22 vs Dolphins
- R25: W 44-24 vs Knights
St George Illawarra Dragons
LLWWL
- R21: L 18-38 vs Titans
- R22: L 22-28 vs Dolphins
- R23: W 24-16 vs Sharks
- R24: W 24-22 vs Wests Tigers
- R25: L 14-44 vs Bulldogs
Ben’s Verdict
Manly have spent the year being worse than their squad and this is the week that stops mattering. If they play at the level they showed in Newcastle, the Dragons get nowhere near this.
Our Bets
H2H Eagles to win$1.41
LINE Eagles -7.5$1.85
TOTAL Under 48.5 points$1.90
MULTI Eagles -7.5 & Under 48.5$3.52
Up Next in the NRL
Key Facts
| Match | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons |
| Date | Friday, August 28 |
| Kick-off | 6:00pm AEST |
| Venue | 4 Pines Park |
| Round | NRL Round 26 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Sea Eagles Multi: Line + Under 48.5 @ $3.52 |
| Predicted Score | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 25 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14 |
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons FAQs
Who will win Sea Eagles vs Dragons?
The Sea Eagles. I have Manly winning by eleven at 4 Pines Park, and they are into $1.41 in the head to head market.
What is the best bet in Sea Eagles vs Dragons?
My best bet is the Sea Eagles multi at $3.52: the line and the under 48.5. That is the featured tip at the top of this page.
Will Sea Eagles vs Dragons go over 48.5 points?
I do not think so. St George have the weakest attack in the competition and Manly do not need a shootout to win this, so the unders at $1.90 make sense.
Who is Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles playing next week?
The Sea Eagles play the Warriors at Go Media Stadium on Saturday 5 September in NRL Round 27.
Who is St George Illawarra Dragons playing next week?
The Dragons play the Eels at WIN Stadium on Sunday 6 September in NRL Round 27.
