Storm vs Cowboys Prediction

Game 2 of Round 14 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 6 features the Storm vs Cowboys at AAMI Park on Friday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Friday, June 6, 2025

6:00 pm @ AAMI Park, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Storm

29 : 22

Cowboys

Win Percentages

Storm
65.18%

Cowboys
34.82%

Storm

Cowboys

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head for the Melbourne Storm set at $1.20, and $4.50 for the North Queensland Cowboys. This sets the bookmaker’s implied probability for both teams as follows:

Storm 78.93%
Cowboys 21.07%

The Betting Edge

Unibet’s implied percentages overstate Melbourne Storm at 78.93% versus our model’s 65.18%, and understate the Cowboys at 21.07% versus our model’s 34.82%. In other words, the market has the Storm far too short. The Cowboys carry real value at $4.50—our model gives them a much higher chance than 21%. Back the Cowboys head-to-head as your top play.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Storm vs Cowboys Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Storm by 9.6
AVG Points Against: Storm by 6.3
Power Rank: Storm by 12
Avg Winning Margin: Storm by 14
SoS Adjusted PF: Storm by 6
Win %: Storm by 18%
Average Opponent Rank: Storm by 7
Average Opponent Win %: Storm by 11%
Average Opponent Points For: Cowboys by 4
Highest Score For: Storm by 14
Highest Score Against: Even
Highest Total Match Score: Storm by 6
Lowest Total Match Score: Storm by 8
Adjusted Points For: Storm by 6
Adjusted Points Against: Storm by 3
True Power Score (Weighted): Storm by 10
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 54.4
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – High Scoring
Avg Opposition Ladder Rank: Storm: 4; Cowboys: 11
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Storm: 1.00; Cowboys: 10.83

Over/Under Tempo: 54.4 – expect a fast, high-scoring contest with plenty of ball in play and line breaks.

Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – High Scoring. The Storm’s dominance in nearly every metric suggests they’ll control the pace and scoreboard.

What to do?

Melbourne’s metrics are overwhelming: superior attack, defence, and power rank. But the line at –14.5 ($1.90) may be too steep. The real value is North Queensland Cowboys head-to-head at $4.50. If you want the safer play, take Storm –14.5. For maximum value, back the Cowboys head-to-head.