Sharks vs Warriors Prediction

Game 4 of Round 14 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 7 features the Sharks vs Warriors at Sharks Stadium on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Cronulla Sharks vs New Zealand Warriors Predictions

Saturday, June 7, 2025

5:30 pm @ Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Sharks

22 : 21

Warriors

Win Percentages

Sharks
53.78%

Warriors
46.22%

Sharks

Warriors

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head for the Cronulla Sharks set at $1.46, and $2.70 for the New Zealand Warriors. This sets the bookmaker’s implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sharks 64.92%
Warriors 35.08%

The Betting Edge

Unibet’s implied percentages overvalue the Sharks at 64.92% compared to our model’s 53.78%, and undervalue the Warriors at 35.08% versus our model’s 46.22%. In other words, the market has the Sharks too short. The true value lies with the Warriors head-to-head @ $2.70. Back the Warriors for best value.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Sharks vs Warriors Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Sharks by 3.4
AVG Points Against: Warriors by 0
Power Rank: Sharks by 2
Avg Winning Margin: Sharks by 7
SoS Adjusted Points For: Sharks by 3
Win %: Warriors by 17%
Average Opponent Rank: Warriors by 2
Average Opponent Win %: Warriors by 5%
Average Opponent Points For: Warriors by 2
Highest Score For: Even
Highest Score Against: Even
Highest Total Match Score: Warriors by 8
Lowest Total Match Score: Warriors by 6
Adjusted Points For: Sharks by 3
Adjusted Points Against: Warriors by 2
True Power Score (Weighted): Sharks by 3.4
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 41.7
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring
Avg Opposition Ladder Rank: Sharks: 7; Warriors: 5
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Sharks: 6.67; Warriors: 11.33

Over/Under Tempo: 41.7 – expect a balanced, moderate-scoring contest with both sides alternating sets and looking to control territory.

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring. Neither team dominates—expect an even contest where execution in key moments decides the winner.

What to do?

Market odds overvalue the Sharks at 64.92% vs our model’s 53.78%. The Warriors, at 35.08%, offer strong value. Best bet: back Warriors head-to-head @ $2.70. If you want a lower-variance play, take Sharks –6.5 @ $1.95, but the true edge is with the Warriors head-to-head.