Panthers vs Knights Prediction

Game 3 of Round 12 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 24 features the Panthers vs Knights at Carrington Park on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights Predictions

Saturday, May 24, 2025

5:30 pm @ Carrington Park, Bathurst

Final Score Prediction

Panthers

23 : 17

Knights

Win Percentages

Panthers 55.40%

Knights 44.60%

Panthers

Knights

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Penrith Panthers set at $1.37, and $3.05 for the Newcastle Knights, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Panthers 69.00%
Knights 31.00%

The Betting Edge

The bookies are backing the Panthers in a big way here, giving them a hefty 69.00% chance of getting the win at odds of $1.37. But our own prediction model has them at a 55.40% chance, still favourites, but not by as much as the market suggests.

Meanwhile, the Knights are being a bit overlooked. The bookies have them at just a 31.00% chance of winning, based on their odds of $3.05. But our numbers say they’ve got a stronger 44.60% chance. That’s a solid edge right there.

According to our analysis, the true odds for Newcastle should be around $2.24, not the $3.05 on offer. That’s a big gap, and one that punters can take advantage of.

To sum it up, the value is clearly with the Knights in this match-up. If our forecast holds up, backing Newcastle at $3.05 could be a very smart play, as the market is underestimating their chances.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Panthers vs Knights Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Panthers by 11.6
Average Points Against Per Match: Knights by 4
Power Rank: Panthers by 1
Average Winning Margin: Panthers by 5
SoS Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 13
Win Percentage: Even
Average Opponent Rank: Knights by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Panthers by 3%
Average Opponent Points For: Knights by 7
Highest Score For: Panthers by 10
Highest Score Against: Knights by 4
Highest Total Match Score: Panthers by 22
Lowest Total Match Score: Knights by 18
Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 13
Adjusted Points Against: Knights by 11
True Power Score (Weighted): Panthers by 2.8
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 39.5
Game Style Prediction: Grinder
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Panthers: 11, Knights: 10 – (Knights by 1)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Panthers: 8.17, Knights: 11.50 – (Panthers by 3.33)

Over/Under Tempo: Very low tempo expected; a slow, grinding match with limited attacking flow.

Game Style Prediction: Grinder. Expect a tough, defensive battle where every point is hard-earned.

What to do?

Panthers are the ones to keep an eye on this week, but unless they fire up their gears the knights will keep it close, take the Knights +8.5 this week the odds are much better than the Panthers on the nose.

Looking at multis go the Panthers 1-12, Knights +8.5, and the UNDER 44.5 for a sneaky $10.54 with Unibet as shown below.