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Panthers vs Knights Prediction
Game 3 of Round 12 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 24 features the Panthers vs Knights at Carrington Park on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights Predictions
Saturday, May 24, 2026
5:30 pm @ Carrington Park, Bathurst
Final Score Prediction
Panthers23 : 17
KnightsWin Percentages
Panthers 55.40%
Knights 44.60%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Penrith Panthers set at $1.37, and $3.05 for the Newcastle Knights, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The Betting Edge
The bookies are backing the Panthers in a big way here, giving them a hefty 69.00% chance of getting the win at odds of $1.37. But our own prediction model has them at a 55.40% chance, still favourites, but not by as much as the market suggests.
Meanwhile, the Knights are being a bit overlooked. The bookies have them at just a 31.00% chance of winning, based on their odds of $3.05. But our numbers say they’ve got a stronger 44.60% chance. That’s a solid edge right there.
According to our analysis, the true odds for Newcastle should be around $2.24, not the $3.05 on offer. That’s a big gap, and one that punters can take advantage of.
To sum it up, the value is clearly with the Knights in this match-up. If our forecast holds up, backing Newcastle at $3.05 could be a very smart play, as the market is underestimating their chances.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:
Panthers vs Knights Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Panthers by 11.6
- Average Points Against Per Match: Knights by 4
- Power Rank: Panthers by 1
- Average Winning Margin: Panthers by 5
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 13
- Win Percentage: Even
- Average Opponent Rank: Knights by 1
- Average Opponent Win %: Panthers by 3%
- Average Opponent Points For: Knights by 7
- Highest Score For: Panthers by 10
- Highest Score Against: Knights by 4
- Highest Total Match Score: Panthers by 22
- Lowest Total Match Score: Knights by 18
- Adjusted Points For: Panthers by 13
- Adjusted Points Against: Knights by 11
- True Power Score (Weighted): Panthers by 2.8
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 39.5
- Game Style Prediction: Grinder
- Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Panthers: 11, Knights: 10 – (Knights by 1)
- Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Panthers: 8.17, Knights: 11.50 – (Panthers by 3.33)
Over/Under Tempo: Very low tempo expected; a slow, grinding match with limited attacking flow.
Game Style Prediction: Grinder. Expect a tough, defensive battle where every point is hard-earned.
What to do?
Panthers are the ones to keep an eye on this week, but unless they fire up their gears the knights will keep it close, take the Knights +8.5 this week the odds are much better than the Panthers on the nose.
Looking at multis go the Panthers 1-12, Knights +8.5, and the UNDER 44.5 for a sneaky $10.54 with Unibet as shown below.
Panthers vs Knights Betting Tips
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