Bulldogs vs Roosters Prediction

Game 2 of Round 11 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 16 features the Bulldogs vs Roosters at Accor Stadium on Friday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Predictions

Friday, May 16, 2025

8:00 pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Bulldogs

28 : 19

Roosters

Win Percentages

Bulldogs 64.61%

Roosters 35.39%

Bulldogs

Roosters

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Canterbury Bulldogs set at $1.37, and $3.05 for the Sydney Roosters, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Bulldogs 69.00%
Roosters 31.00%

The Betting Edge

Unibet’s got the Canterbury Bulldogs as firm favourites at $1.37, which implies a whopping 69.00% chance of them walking away with the win. Meanwhile, the Sydney Roosters are way out at $3.05, suggesting just a 31.00% shot according to the bookies.

But our model paints a slightly different picture, giving the Bulldogs a 64.61% win probability and the Roosters a still-low, but slightly more generous, 35.39%. That’s not a massive difference, but it does suggest the bookies might be just a touch too bullish on Canterbury.

While the Bulldogs are clearly the stronger side overall, the current odds on the Roosters offer up a sliver of value. If you’re someone who likes to back a roughie with a bit of fight in them, $3.05 might just be worth a look.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Bulldogs vs Roosters Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Bulldogs by 4.4 points
Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs by 12 points
Power Rank: Bulldogs by 13
Average Winning Margin: Bulldogs by 3 points
Strength of Schedule Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 2 points
Win %: Bulldogs by 44%
Average Opponent Ladder Rank: Bulldogs by 8 ranks
Average Opponent Win %: Bulldogs by 23%
Average Opponent Points For: Bulldogs by 1 point
Highest Score For: Roosters by 6 points
Highest Score Against: Bulldogs by 8 points
Highest Total Match Score: Roosters by 6 points
Lowest Total Match Score: Even
Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 2 points
Adjusted Points Against: Bulldogs by 14 points
True Power Score (Weighted): Bulldogs by 9.8
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 43.9
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Bulldogs: 5.50, Roosters: 5.83 – (Bulldogs by 0.33)

Over/Under Tempo: Moderate pace expected, but the Bulldogs could push it into blowout territory.

Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout. Bulldogs have the muscle and overall class to control this from the start.

What to do?

The Bulldogs are rightfully favourites here, they’re stronger across nearly every key metric and have done it against significantly tougher competition. But with the market pricing them at a near 70% chance, the value’s pretty much dried up on that side.

If you’re feeling brave, the Roosters at $3.05 might be worth a speculative punt. Our model’s giving them slightly better odds than the market, and while the Bulldogs are a force, this isn’t a total mismatch. There’s a bit of bite left in the underdogs.

Bulldogs should take the win this week, our prediction has them winning by more than the anticipated 8.5 line suggested by the bookies, best bet here is to take the Bulldogs -8.5.

Looking at multis go the Bulldogs 1-12, Bulldogs -8.5, and the OVER 44.5 for a handy little $11.11 with Unibet.