North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Melbourne Demons Prediction
This weeks North Melbourne vs Melbourne prediction Round 2 sees the roos hosting at Marvel Stadium on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7.
North Melbourne vs Melbourne
Sunday, March 23, 2026
3:20 pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Final Score Prediction
Kangaroos
92 : 94
Demons
Win Percentages
North Melbourne46.4%
Melbourne53.6%
North Melbourne
Melbourne
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for North Melbourne Kangaroos set at $3.10, with $1.36 for the Melbourne Demons, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Kangaroos
30.49%
Demons
69.51%
Review
Last week the Kangaroos were outgunned 113-97 by a Bulldogs side missing key players, despite standout performances from Harry Sheezel (31 disposals), Jy Simpkin (30) and Nick Larkey (5 goals). There were positives, but their leaky backline remains a major issue.
Melbourne’s loss, though, was pure heartbreak–falling 77-74 to GWS after a last-minute goal in the wet. It was a brutal way to open the season, especially after last year’s game vs North, where the Dees survived a late scare to win by 3 points after leading by 39.
The Demons have won six straight against the Kangaroos, and while North holds the edge in scoring this season (97 to 74), Melbourne’s numbers and goal accuracy (64.7%) make them slight favourites.
Opportunity Bet
North Melbourne is heavily undervalued!
The bookmakers give North just a 30.49% chance, while our numbers suggest they actually have a 46.4% probability.
If our analysis is right, North’s fair odds should be around $2.15, yet they are available at $3.10–which presents a pretty decent value opportunity.
Meanwhile, Melbourne is overpriced–the bookies have them at 69.51% probability, while our numbers suggest they should be closer to 53.6%.
Final Take
North Melbourne at $3.10 is a strong value bet–the bookies may be underestimating them. Melbourne is the favourite but overpriced, meaning there’s little value in backing them at $1.36. If you’re looking for a handy underdog play, North Melbourne at these odds offers serious upside!
At $3.10, North Melbourne is a fantastic value bet!
Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness.
A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy.
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