AFL Betting Tips Round 6
Nine games across four days – and the model has…
Gold Coast vs Fremantle Prediction
Game 3 of Round 12 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on May 31 sees Gold Coast vs Fremantle at People First Stadium on Saturday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.
Gold Coast SUNS vs Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Saturday, May 31, 2026
1:20 pm AEDT @ People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Final Score Prediction
84 : 76
Win Percentages
Gold Coast 59.08%
Fremantle 40.92%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Gold Coast SUNS set at $1.38, and $2.95 for the Fremantle Dockers, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The Betting Edge
The bookies are strongly backing the SUNS in this one, with odds of $1.37 translating to a 68.29% implied chance of winning. Our prediction still has Gold Coast on top, but at a slightly lower 59.08%, suggesting the market might be a bit too confident.
Fremantle are priced at $2.95, giving them an implied probability of just 31.71%. But our model sees them as more of a chance at 40.92%, a noticeable bump from what the market suggests.
That gap creates a tidy little value opportunity on the Dockers. If our numbers are right, their true odds should be closer to $2.44. So getting them at $2.95 could be worth a shot for value hunters.
While the SUNS deserve favouritism, the odds might be a touch short, and Fremantle could be the underdog play with some upside.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Let’s see how the two teams stack up across the board:
Gold Coast vs Fremantle Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Gold Coast by 13.4
- Average Points Against Per Match: Gold Coast by 3.9
- Power Rank: Gold Coast by 7
- Average Winning Margin: Fremantle by 5.13
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Gold Coast by 10
- Win Percentage: Gold Coast by 25%
- Average Opponent Rank: Gold Coast by 4
- Average Opponent Win %: Fremantle by 13%
- Average Opponent Points For: Fremantle by 9
- Highest Score For: Gold Coast by 28
- Highest Score Against: Gold Coast by 51
- Highest Total Match Score: Fremantle by 12
- Lowest Total Match Score: Gold Coast by 12
- Adjusted Points For: Gold Coast by 10
- Adjusted Points Against: Fremantle by 7
- True Power Score (Weighted): Gold Coast by 5.4
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 172
- Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
- Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Gold Coast: 5, Fremantle: 9 – (Gold Coast by 4)
- Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Gold Coast: 6.33, Fremantle: 8.33 – (Gold Coast by 2)
Over/Under Tempo: High tempo expected; both sides may look to exploit transitions, but efficiency inside 50 will be key.
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring. Gold Coast holds a clear statistical edge, though Fremantle’s resilience could challenge if they control possession and slow the tempo.
What to do?
Best bet is to take the Gold Coast 1-39 this game.
As for multis, take the Fremantle +16.5, UNDER 174.5, Sydney 1-39 for $7.50 with Unibet as shown below.
Gold Coast vs Fremantle Betting Tips
Related:
AFL Fixture
Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.
AFL Injury List
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.
Other Betting Tips
We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.
All AFL Tips
