Fremantle vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Analysis

Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans Predictions

The 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership Tips and Predictions for Round 2 end on March 23, with the Fremantle vs Sydney at Optus Stadium on Sunday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Fremantle vs Sydney

Sunday, March 23, 2025

6:10 pm @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Final Score Prediction

Dockers

85 : 108

Swans

Win Percentages

Fremantle 47.4%

Sydney 52.6%

Fremantle

Sydney

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Fremantle Dockers set at $1.70, and $2.15 for the Sydney Swans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Dockers 55.84%
Swans 44.16%

Review

For the Dockers, Round 1 was a nightmare—a 147-69 thrashing by Geelong, their worst defeat since 2019. A 41-8 third-quarter burst added some respectability, but the pressure is mounting.

Sydney, meanwhile, has fallen to 0-2, following their gut-wrenching 86-82 loss to Brisbane in a grand final rematch. It’s been a tough start, and the Swans were also left heartbroken in their last game with Freo—a one-point difference where Logan McDonald missed after the siren.

Interestingly, the last five meetings between these sides have been won by the away team—a good omen for Sydney. The Swans have outscored Freo this season (79 to 69), but the Dockers have been more accurate in front of goal (71.4% to 62.2%).

Opportunity Bet

🔥 Sydney is the value play here! 🔥

The bookmakers undervalue Sydney, giving them just a 44.16% chance, while our analysis suggests they actually have a 52.6% probability.
If our numbers hold, Sydney’s fair odds should be around $1.90, but they’re currently available at $2.15, meaning there’s value in backing the Swans.
Meanwhile, Fremantle is overpriced, with the bookies rating them at 55.84% probability, while our numbers suggest they should be closer to 47.4%.

Final Take

📌 Sydney at $2.15 is a strong value bet—the bookies may have mispriced them.
📌 Fremantle is the favourite but slightly overpriced, meaning there’s little value in backing them at $1.70.
📌 If you’re looking for an edge, Sydney at $2.15 is the smarter play!

Backing the Swans at $2.15 in this Fremantle vs Sydney game could be a solid move!

Suggested Betting Tip:

Sydney 1-39 @ $2.65 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Sydney @ $2.15 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Sydney +6.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 165.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

Fremantle vs Sydney SGM

Fremantle vs Sydney Head-to-Head Stats (2025 Season)

Average Points For Per Match: Fremantle: 69.0, Sydney: 79.0 – (Sydney by 10 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Fremantle: 147.0, Sydney: 91.0 – (Sydney by 56 points)
Average Winning Margin: Fremantle: N/A, Sydney: N/A
Average Losing Margin: Fremantle: 78.0, Sydney: 12.0 – (Sydney by 66 points)
HT/FT Double %: Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)
Highest Score For: Fremantle: 69, Sydney: 82 – (Sydney by 13 points)
Highest Score Against: Fremantle: 147, Sydney: 96 – (Fremantle by 51 points)
Biggest Win: Fremantle: N/A, Sydney: N/A
Biggest Loss: Fremantle: 78, Sydney: 20 – (Fremantle by 58 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Fremantle: 216, Sydney: 172 – (Fremantle by 44 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Fremantle: 216, Sydney: 168 – (Fremantle by 48 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: Fremantle: 71.4%, Sydney: 62.2% – (Fremantle by 9.2%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: Fremantle: 74.2%, Sydney: 55.3% – (Fremantle by 18.9%)
Current Streak: Fremantle: L1, Sydney: L2 – (Fremantle streak 1, Sydney streak 2)
Current Form: Fremantle: L, Sydney: LL – (Fremantle by 1 win)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 100.0% – (Sydney by 100%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)