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Fremantle vs Sydney Prediction
Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans Predictions
The 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership Tips and Predictions for Round 2 end on March 23, with the Fremantle vs Sydney at Optus Stadium on Sunday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo & Foxtel.
Fremantle vs Sydney
Sunday, March 23, 2026
6:10 pm @ Optus Stadium, Perth
Final Score Prediction
Dockers85 : 108
Swans 
Win Percentages
Fremantle 47.4%
Sydney 52.6%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Fremantle Dockers set at $1.70, and $2.15 for the Sydney Swans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Review
For the Dockers, Round 1 was a nightmare–a 147-69 thrashing by Geelong, their worst defeat since 2019. A 41-8 third-quarter burst added some respectability, but the pressure is mounting.
Sydney, meanwhile, has fallen to 0-2, following their gut-wrenching 86-82 loss to Brisbane in a grand final rematch. It’s been a tough start, and the Swans were also left heartbroken in their last game with Freo–a one-point difference where Logan McDonald missed after the siren.
Interestingly, the last five meetings between these sides have been won by the away team–a good omen for Sydney. The Swans have outscored Freo this season (79 to 69), but the Dockers have been more accurate in front of goal (71.4% to 62.2%).
Opportunity Bet
Sydney is the value play here!
- The bookmakers undervalue Sydney, giving them just a 44.16% chance, while our analysis suggests they actually have a 52.6% probability.
- If our numbers hold, Sydney’s fair odds should be around $1.90, but they’re currently available at $2.15, meaning there’s value in backing the Swans.
- Meanwhile, Fremantle is overpriced, with the bookies rating them at 55.84% probability, while our numbers suggest they should be closer to 47.4%.
Final Take
Sydney at $2.15 is a strong value bet–the bookies may have mispriced them.
Fremantle is the favourite but slightly overpriced, meaning there’s little value in backing them at $1.70.
If you’re looking for an edge, Sydney at $2.15 is the smarter play!
Backing the Swans at $2.15 in this Fremantle vs Sydney game could be a solid move!
Fremantle vs Sydney Head-to-Head Stats (2026 Season)
- Average Points For Per Match: Fremantle: 69.0, Sydney: 79.0 – (Sydney by 10 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Fremantle: 147.0, Sydney: 91.0 – (Sydney by 56 points)
- Average Winning Margin: Fremantle: N/A, Sydney: N/A
- Average Losing Margin: Fremantle: 78.0, Sydney: 12.0 – (Sydney by 66 points)
- HT/FT Double %: Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)
- Highest Score For: Fremantle: 69, Sydney: 82 – (Sydney by 13 points)
- Highest Score Against: Fremantle: 147, Sydney: 96 – (Fremantle by 51 points)
- Biggest Win: Fremantle: N/A, Sydney: N/A
- Biggest Loss: Fremantle: 78, Sydney: 20 – (Fremantle by 58 points)
- Highest Total Match Score: Fremantle: 216, Sydney: 172 – (Fremantle by 44 points)
- Lowest Total Match Score: Fremantle: 216, Sydney: 168 – (Fremantle by 48 points)
- Goal Accuracy For %: Fremantle: 71.4%, Sydney: 62.2% – (Fremantle by 9.2%)
- Goal Accuracy Against %: Fremantle: 74.2%, Sydney: 55.3% – (Fremantle by 18.9%)
- Current Streak: Fremantle: L1, Sydney: L2 – (Fremantle streak 1, Sydney streak 2)
- Current Form: Fremantle: L, Sydney: LL – (Fremantle by 1 win)
- Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 100.0% – (Sydney by 100%)
- Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)
- Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Fremantle: 0.0%, Sydney: 0.0% – (Even)
2026 AFL Premiership Season – Round 2 Schedule
- Thursday, March 20, 2026
- 7:30 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne
Footscray vs Collingwood
- Friday, March 21, 2026
- 7:40 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne
Essendon vs Adelaide Crows
- Saturday, March 22, 2026
- 1:20 pm AEDT @ MCG, Melbourne
- Saturday, March 22, 2026
- 4:15 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
St Kilda vs Geelong Cats
- Saturday, March 22, 2026
- 7:35 pm AEDT @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles
- Sunday, March 23, 2026
- 1:10 pm AEDT @ Gabba, Brisbane
- Sunday, March 23, 2026
- 3:20 pm AEDT @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Fremantle vs Sydney Swans
- Sunday, March 23, 2026
- 6:10 pm AEDT @ Optus Stadium, Perth
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