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Fremantle vs Adelaide Prediction
Fremantle Dockers vs Adelaide Crows Predictions
Game 3 of Round 7 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees Fremantle vs Adelaide on April 25 at the MCG on Friday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7.
Friday, April 25, 2026
8:10 pm AEDT @ Optus Stadium, Perth
Final Score Prediction
Dockers79 : 111
Crows 
Win Percentages
Fremantle 44.26%
Adelaide 55.74%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Fremantle Dockers set at $1.80, and $2.00 for the Adelaide Crows, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Opportunity Bet
The market’s leaning slightly toward the Dockers, pricing them with a 52.62% chance to win. But our model actually gives the edge to the Crows, who we’ve got winning 55.74% of the time.
That’s a decent gap and opens up some strong value on Adelaide. Based on our numbers, the Crows should be priced closer to $1.79, but Unibet is offering $2.00. That’s a tidy edge for punters chasing value.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Looking at the rankings, the Crows are flying high, leading in a few key areas despite being the away side:
- Overall Power Ranking: Adelaide 1st vs Fremantle 6th
- Score Rank: Crows 8th vs Dockers 11th
- Balanced Power Score: Crows 4th vs Dockers 6th
- Points For Rank: Crows 1st vs Dockers 13th
- Points Against Rank: Dockers 5th vs Crows 13th
- Win % Rank: Crows 6th vs Dockers 10th
- Total Power Rank Score: Crows 5.50 vs Dockers 8.50
What to do?
Fremantle have been solid at the back, but they’ve struggled to score consistently. Meanwhile, Adelaide’s offence is flying, ranked number one for points for while playing away from home. Their balanced play and form give them the edge, even away from home.
The Dockers might be slight favourites on paper, but the Crows are bringing better form, more scoring firepower, and value at the bookies. At $2.00, Adelaide are a sharp play with a clear edge based on our data.
Take Adelaide +2.5, OVER 177.5, or Adelaide 1-39… they’re all solid bets.
Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide by 18.3
- Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide by 4
- Power Rank: Adelaide by 4
- Average Winning Margin: Fremantle by 6
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 18
- Win Percentage: Adelaide by 17%
- Average Opponent Rank: Adelaide by 5
- Average Opponent Win Percentage: Adelaide by 13%
- Average Opponent Points For: Fremantle by 10
- Highest Score For: Adelaide by 53
- Highest Score Against: Adelaide by 28
- Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 45
- Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 47
- Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 18
- Adjusted Points Against: Fremantle by 12
- True Power Score (Weighted): Adelaide by 3.2
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 189.2
- Game Style Prediction: High Tempo Clash
Related:
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