Sunday football begins with Brisbane vs West Coast a little after lunch time at the Gabba. You can catch the game live on Kayo & Foxtel.
Brisbane vs West Coast
Sunday, March 23, 2026
1:10 pm @ The Gabba, Brisbane
Final Score Prediction
Lions
116 : 60
Eagles
Win Percentages
Brisbane78.1%
West Coast21.9%
Brisbane
West Coast
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Brisbane Lions set at $1.04, and $11.50 for the West Coast Eagles, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Lions
91.69%
Eagles
8.31%
Review
The Lions fought back from 23 points down to edge Sydney 86-82 in a tense grand final rematch. Josh Dunkley was everywhere, racking up 27 disposals, 16 contested possessions, 10 tackles, and a goal.
Meanwhile, the Eagles had a nightmare start, copping a 136-49 loss to Gold Coast–their heaviest-ever season-opening defeat. And history suggests more pain could be on the way… West Coast has lost its last five games at the Gabba by an average of 53.6 points.
Stats are firmly in Brisbane’s favour: they’ve scored 37 points more per game, conceded 54 points fewer, and have a 100% comeback rate after trailing at halftime. West Coast’s best hope? Their goal accuracy (53.8%) has been better than Brisbane’s (48.0%).
Opportunity Bet
West Coast is significantly undervalued!
The bookmakers give West Coast just an 8.31% chance, but our analysis suggests they actually have a 21.9% chance.
If our numbers are correct, West Coast’s fair odds should be around $4.57, yet they’re available at a massive $11.50–making them a huge value opportunity.
On the other hand, Brisbane is heavily overvalued. The bookies rate them as a 91.69% favourite, but our analysis suggests they should be closer to 78.1%.
Final Take
West Coast at $11.50 is a strong value bet–the bookies may have severely mispriced them. Brisbane is still the likely winner, but at $1.04, there’s no value in backing them. If you’re after a big underdog play, West Coast at these odds offers major upside!
Statistically speaking, at $11.50, West Coast is one of the best value bets available this week, and considering the Lions are playing the Cats next week we can assume they will try play it a little bit safe this week to avoid injuries.
Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness.
A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy.
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