Brisbane vs West Coast Prediction & Betting Analysis

Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles Predictions

Sunday football begins with Brisbane vs West Coast a little after lunch time at the Gabba. You can catch the game live on Kayo & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Brisbane vs West Coast

Sunday, March 23, 2025

1:10 pm @ The Gabba, Brisbane

Final Score Prediction

Lions

116 : 60

Eagles

Win Percentages

Brisbane 78.1%

West Coast 21.9%

Brisbane

West Coast

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Brisbane Lions set at $1.04, and $11.50 for the West Coast Eagles, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Lions 91.69%
Eagles 8.31%

Review

The Lions fought back from 23 points down to edge Sydney 86-82 in a tense grand final rematch. Josh Dunkley was everywhere, racking up 27 disposals, 16 contested possessions, 10 tackles, and a goal.

Meanwhile, the Eagles had a nightmare start, copping a 136-49 loss to Gold Coast—their heaviest-ever season-opening defeat. And history suggests more pain could be on the way… West Coast has lost its last five games at the Gabba by an average of 53.6 points.

Stats are firmly in Brisbane’s favour: they’ve scored 37 points more per game, conceded 54 points fewer, and have a 100% comeback rate after trailing at halftime. West Coast’s best hope? Their goal accuracy (53.8%) has been better than Brisbane’s (48.0%).

Opportunity Bet

🚨 West Coast is significantly undervalued! 🚨

The bookmakers give West Coast just an 8.31% chance, but our analysis suggests they actually have a 21.9% chance.
If our numbers are correct, West Coast’s fair odds should be around $4.57, yet they’re available at a massive $11.50—making them a huge value opportunity.
On the other hand, Brisbane is heavily overvalued. The bookies rate them as a 91.69% favourite, but our analysis suggests they should be closer to 78.1%.

Final Take

📌 West Coast at $11.50 is a strong value bet—the bookies may have severely mispriced them.
📌 Brisbane is still the likely winner, but at $1.04, there’s no value in backing them.
📌 If you’re after a big underdog play, West Coast at these odds offers major upside!

Statistically speaking, at $11.50, West Coast is one of the best value bets available this week, and considering the Lions are playing the Cats next week we can assume they will try play it a little bit safe this week to avoid injuries.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Brisbane -58.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Brisbane (NO VALUE) @ $1.04 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Brisbane -58.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 175.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

Brisbane vs West Coast SGM

Brisbane vs West Coast Head-to-Head Stats (2025 Season)

Average Points For Per Match: Brisbane: 86.0, West Coast: 49.0 – (Brisbane by 37 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Brisbane: 82.0, West Coast: 136.0 – (Brisbane by 54 points)
Average Winning Margin: Brisbane: 4.0, West Coast: N/A
Average Losing Margin: Brisbane: N/A, West Coast: 87.0
HT/FT Double %: Brisbane: 0.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (Even)
Highest Score For: Brisbane: 86, West Coast: 49 – (Brisbane by 37 points)
Highest Score Against: Brisbane: 82, West Coast: 136 – (West Coast by 54 points)
Biggest Win: Brisbane: 4, West Coast: N/A
Biggest Loss: Brisbane: N/A, West Coast: 87
Highest Total Match Score: Brisbane: 168, West Coast: 185 – (West Coast by 17 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Brisbane: 168, West Coast: 185 – (West Coast by 17 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: Brisbane: 48.0%, West Coast: 53.8% – (West Coast by 5.8%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: Brisbane: 63.2%, West Coast: 66.7% – (West Coast by 3.5%)
Current Streak: Brisbane: W1, West Coast: L1 – (Brisbane streak 1)
Current Form: Brisbane: W, West Coast: L – (Brisbane by 1 win)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading At HT): Brisbane: 0.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Brisbane: 0.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing At HT): Brisbane: 100.0%, West Coast: 0.0% – (Brisbane by 100%)