Knights vs Sea Eagles Prediction

Game 1 of Round 14 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 5 features the Knights vs Sea Eagles at McDonald Jones Stadium on Thursday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles Predictions

Thursday, June 5, 2025

7:50 pm @ McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Final Score Prediction

Knights

18 : 25

Sea Eagles

Win Percentages

Knights
38.66%

Sea Eagles
61.34%

Knights

Sea Eagles

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head for the Newcastle Knights set at $2.43, and $1.55 for the Manly Sea Eagles. This sets the bookmaker’s implied probability for both teams as follows:

Knights 38.94%
Sea Eagles 61.06%

The Betting Edge

Unibet has priced the Newcastle Knights at $2.43 (≈38.94% implied), while the Manly Sea Eagles are $1.55 (≈61.06% implied). Our internal model rates the Knights at 38.66%, nearly identical to the market’s 38.94%, and the Sea Eagles at 61.34% versus the market’s 61.06%. With both sides priced almost perfectly in line, there’s no clear value edge here—the market’s nailed it. Expect a tight contest where a single moment could swing the result.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Knights vs Sea Eagles Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Sea Eagles by 11.1
Average Points Against Per Match: Knights by 1.5
Power Rank: Sea Eagles by 6
Average Winning Margin: Sea Eagles by 7
SoS Adjusted Points For: Sea Eagles by 10
Win Percentage: Sea Eagles by 17%
Average Opponent Rank: Sea Eagles by 5
Average Opponent Win %: Sea Eagles by 14%
Average Opponent Points For: Knights by 7
Highest Score For: Sea Eagles by 12
Highest Score Against: Knights by 14
Highest Total Match Score: Sea Eagles by 24
Lowest Total Match Score: Knights by 12
Adjusted Points For: Sea Eagles by 10
Adjusted Points Against: Knights by 7
True Power Score (Weighted): Sea Eagles by 5.8
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 36.6
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Knights: 11; Sea Eagles: 7 – (Sea Eagles by 4)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Knights: 14.50; Sea Eagles: 7.67 – (Even advantage to Sea Eagles)

Over/Under Tempo: 36.6 – expect a balanced, moderate‐scoring affair with both sides managing sets and territory carefully.

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring. With the Sea Eagles holding a clear metrics edge, anticipate structured football, but the Knights will dig in to keep it tight.

What to do?

Manly’s metrics dominate—stronger attack, defence, and overall power rank—so backing the Sea Eagles looks sensible. However, this is still a tough matchup given the Knights’ defensive edge. Best play: take Sea Eagles –5.5 (line) at $1.90 and expect a disciplined performance from the visitors.