Brisbane vs Adelaide Prediction – Round 7 2026
AFL Round 7 • 2026 Model Predicted – Final Score…
GWS vs North Melbourne Prediction – Round 7 2026
AFL Round 7 • 2026
Model Predicted – Final Score
GWS
$1.43
Sunday, April 26
99 : 78
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka
NMFC
$2.86
GWS GIANTS by 22 points
Model Predicted Margin
GWS GIANTS by 22
Current Market
GWS GIANTS -16.5
5.5 pts edge
Best BetLINE BETTING
Best Bet: Greater Western Sydney Giants -16.5 @ $1.90
Our model has GWS winning by 21, giving 4.5 points of value over the market line.
Odds correct at time of posting
Giants vs Roos Prediction: Canberra Fortress Holds
GWS have beaten North Melbourne by 54, 39 and 28 in the last three meetings. That’s not a trend, it’s a pattern of dominance – and it’s survived wildly different form patches for both sides.
North sit fifth on the ladder and GWS sit fourteenth. The books know that. But the books are pricing recent form, not this specific matchup. GWS hold a seven-possession advantage in contested ball and that’s what wins games at Manuka’s tight dimensions. North’s clearance edge evaporates when they can’t get clean exits against a side that pressures the corridor like GWS do.
The risk is North’s efficiency. They convert inside 50 entries at a significantly higher rate and their marking inside the arc is elite. If they get clean looks, they don’t miss. A hot first quarter could flip the script entirely.
But the Canberra crowd is theirs, and our model has this at 21. The market says 16.5. That’s four and a half points sitting there waiting.
Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Roos Tip
GWS by 21 – their contested possession dominance at Manuka chokes North’s scoring avenues and the 5.5-point gap between our model and the market is too juicy to ignore.
Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Roos Key Stats
CONTESTED POSSESSIONS
GWS135
NMFC128
GWS’s contested ball edge controls Manuka’s tight ground and limits North’s ability to transition cleanly.
MARKS INSIDE 50
GWS11
NMFC15
North’s aerial threat inside 50 is the main danger – if GWS can disrupt supply, this advantage shrinks fast.
INSIDE 50S
GWS58
NMFC51
GWS generate nearly seven more entries per game – volume of supply is how they grind teams down at home.
Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Roos Form Guide
Greater Western Sydney Giants
LWLLL
- L 66-107 vs Sydney Swans
- W 131-75 vs Richmond
- L 54-87 vs Collingwood
- L 74-78 vs St Kilda
- L 53-134 vs Western Bulldogs
North Melbourne Kangaroos
WLWWL
- W 130-55 vs Richmond
- L 66-92 vs Brisbane Lions
- W 96-86 vs Carlton
- W 81-69 vs Essendon
- L 94-111 vs West Coast Eagles
Final Verdict
The head-to-head record screams GWS and the model agrees. Back the Giants to cover at Manuka.
LOCK IT IN: GWS GIANTS -16.5 @ $1.90
Key Facts
| Match | Greater Western Sydney Giants vs North Melbourne Kangaroos |
| Date | Sunday, April 26 |
| Venue | Corroboree Group Oval Manuka |
| Our Tip | GWS GIANTS -16.5 @ $1.90 |
| Predicted Score | Greater Western Sydney Giants 99 – North Melbourne Kangaroos 78 |
Greater Western Sydney Giants vs North Melbourne Kangaroos FAQs
Who will win GWS Giants vs North Melbourne?
Our model predicts GWS Giants to win by 21 points at Manuka Oval. GWS have won the last three meetings against North Melbourne by an average of 40 points, and their contested possession advantage supports a comfortable home win.
What is the predicted score for GWS vs North Melbourne Round 7?
Our model predicts GWS Giants 99 to North Melbourne 78. GWS’s inside 50 volume and contested ball profile at Manuka point to a margin in the low twenties.
What are the best bets for GWS vs North Melbourne?
The best bet is GWS Giants -16.5 at $1.90. Our model has GWS winning by 21, giving 4.5 points of value over the market line. The head-to-head record strongly favours GWS in this matchup.
