Seahawks vs Chiefs Prediction
The Chiefs are unbeaten and the Seahawks are still 2.5…
Eagles vs Rams Prediction
The Eagles have won the last three against the Rams and have still not beaten a line this season. I make this Rams by two against a line of 3.5, so the Eagles and the points is a bet, and so is a total of 43.5 that my own number sails well past.
NFL Week 4 • 2026
Model Predicted Final Score
PHI
$2.59
Monday, October 5 • 4:00am AEDT
23 : 25
Lincoln Financial Field
LA
$1.50
Rams by 2 points
Model Predicted Margin
Rams by 2
Current Market
Rams -3.5
1.5 pts tighter
Our Bets This Game
LINEEagles +3.5
$1.94
TOTALOver 43.5
$1.95
MULTIEagles +3.5, Over 43.5 & Matthew Stafford 250+ Passing Yards
$6.92
Claim Tips at Dabble - Offer dabble
Odds correct at time of posting
The Eagles have taken the last three meetings with the Rams and are yet to cover a line this season. I have the Rams by two, which does not cover 3.5, so the points and the overs are both bets.
The Eagles own this fixture lately, three straight wins over the Rams including a playoff one, and they are still yet to cover a line this season. Two narrow wins and a 20 point beating is how you end up 2-1 and 0-3 against the line.
I make it Rams by two and the bookies want three and a half. I still think the Rams win this, but at 3.5 the money is with the Eagles and the points, because a two point win does not cover a three and a half point line.
The total is the reason to be here: the market has gone to 43.5 and I get to 48. The Eagles are conceding 23 points a game, they have gone over the number in two of their three games, and the Rams were part of a 56 point game against the Broncos last week. I will take the overs at $1.95.
The official report is in and it lands hardest on the Eagles: Zack Baun, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert are among six ruled out, while the Rams lose Aaron Donald, a tight end and a cornerback. Both defences are thinner for it, but the Eagles attack is missing two receivers and a tight end, and that is the risk to both my bets.
Eagles vs Rams Form Guide
Points per game
PHI18.3
LA20.3
Points conceded per game
PHI23.0
LA21.0
Offensive success rate
PHI38.2%
LA45.6%
Philadelphia Eagles
WWL
- WK 3: L 7-27 @ Bears
- WK 2: W 24-20 @ Titans
- WK 1: W 24-22 vs Commanders
Los Angeles Rams
LWL
- WK 3: L 26-30 @ Broncos
- WK 2: W 28-6 vs Giants
- WK 1: L 7-27 vs 49ers
Season to date, weeks 1-3.
Eagles vs Rams Tip
I have the Rams winning by two, which is not enough to cover 3.5, so the Eagles and the points is the side of the line I want.
Ben’s Verdict
The Eagles keep finding the win and missing the cover, and neither of these defences has been hard to play against. The points and the total are what I want here.
Our Bets
LINE Eagles +3.5$1.94
TOTAL Over 43.5$1.95
MULTI Eagles +3.5, Over 43.5 & Matthew Stafford 250+ Passing Yards$6.92
Player prop predictions
Kyren Williams anytime touchdown, $2.00. Kyren Williams has scored in 15 of his last 23 games, playoffs included, and he went in during all three of the Rams’ finals last year. He’s two from three so far this season, so $2.00 is even money on something that happens about two times in three.
Matthew Stafford 250 or more passing yards, $1.83. Matthew Stafford just threw for 390, and he has 250 or more in 16 of his last 23 games, finals included. He got there in nine of his last ten last season, three of them finals, and that’s what I want carrying the multi at $1.83.
Davante Adams anytime touchdown, $2.25. Davante Adams found the end zone in 11 of his last 20 games, and last season he scored every week from week nine through week 13. He’s already bagged two in a game this year, and $2.25 is too long for a bloke who scores more often than not.
Saquon Barkley 60 or more rushing yards, $1.50. Saquon Barkley ran for 60 or more in 12 of his last 20 games, playoffs included, and his 82 last time out says the 9 in week two was the outlier. With the Eagles in this to the finish, I’m happy at $1.50.
Puka Nacua anytime touchdown, $2.50. Puka Nacua scored in 11 of his last 20 games, finals included, including his last three regular season games last year and then two more in the wildcard. One blank to open this season isn’t a reason to walk away at $2.50.
The multi, $6.92. Eagles +3.5 at $1.94, Over 43.5 at $1.95 and Matthew Stafford 250+ Passing Yards at $1.83. Three legs, the prop being the one with the strongest record on the board.
Prop prices from Sportsbet at the time of posting; the multi is the legs multiplied together. Records are game logs from last season (regular season and playoffs) and this season so far, checked against NFL.com. Compare before you bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Up Next in the NFL
Key Facts
| Match | Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams |
| Date | Monday, October 5 |
| Kick-off | 4:00am AEDT |
| Venue | Lincoln Financial Field |
| Round | NFL Week 4 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | I have the Rams winning by two, which is not enough to cover 3.5, so the Eagles and the points is the side of the line I want. |
| Predicted Score | Eagles 23 – Rams 25 |
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams FAQs
Who will win Eagles vs Rams?
The Rams, by about two on my numbers. The Eagles have won the last three meetings but they have been the less efficient side with the ball through three weeks this season.
Is there value on the Eagles vs Rams line?
Yes, with the Eagles. The market has the Rams giving 3.5 and I make the margin two, so I still think the Rams win this but they do not cover, which puts the value on the Eagles and the points.
What’s the total for Eagles vs Rams?
I get to 48 and the bookies are at 43.5. That is 4.5 points of daylight and the strongest thing I have on this game, so the overs it is.
Who has won the recent Eagles vs Rams meetings?
The Eagles, all three of them, the most recent a 33 to 26 win at home in Week 3 last season. The Rams went further in the playoffs last season though, losing the conference final to the Seahawks.
Who are the Philadelphia Eagles playing next week?
The Eagles travel to play the Jacksonville Jaguars at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday 12 October (AEDT) in NFL Week 5.
Who are the Los Angeles Rams playing next week?
The Rams host the Buffalo Bills at SoFi Stadium on Tuesday 13 October (AEDT) in NFL Week 5.
