Broncos vs Seahawks Prediction
Tomorrow 11:15am AEDTI have the Broncos winning this at home, so the Seahawks giving 2.5 looks the wrong way round to me.…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026NFL Tips
The NFL tips are here, and they run all season. Every game gets a call from me, the bets go on the ones I back, and the reasoning sits under every call.
The bets are head-to-head, the line and totals, plus a multi when a few of them belong on the one ticket. The tips for each game are on that game’s page, and a new set of NFL betting tips drops here weekly, through the regular season and into the playoffs.
Pick a week below to read the calls.
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Latest NFL tips & predictions
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Jaguars vs Texans Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 12:30am AEDTWembley takes the home edge out of this one, and I still have the Jaguars by seven. Giving 2.5 to…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Buccaneers vs Steelers Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Steelers winning, but only by a point, and the bookies want 2.5 of them. That puts my…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Eagles vs Panthers Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Eagles winning, but only by a point, so there is nothing for me on either side of…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Giants vs Saints Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTThe bookies have the Saints as half point favourites at MetLife and I have the Giants winning by five. That…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Patriots vs Jets Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Patriots winning this by 10 at home, and the Jets getting 7.5 is not enough to put…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Colts vs Titans Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Colts winning by more than the 6.5 they are giving, against a Titans side still looking for…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Browns vs Ravens Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Ravens winning by about what the bookies expect, so the line is not where my money goes.…
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Falcons vs Bears Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 4:00am AEDTI have the Falcons winning this at home, so the Bears giving 3.5 is a gift I will take. The points are my side, and I want a slightly quieter game than the market is pricing.
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Rams vs Cardinals Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 7:05am AEDTI have the Rams winning comfortably, but not by the 13.5 the bookies are asking. The Cardinals with the points is where the value is, and I have the total almost exactly where the market does.
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 7:25am AEDTThe Chiefs are 4-0, the Chargers are 0-5, and I have the gap at 10 points. Chiefs to cover the 7.5 is my bet, with a few more points in the game than the bookies want.
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Raiders vs Bills Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 7:25am AEDTI have the Bills winning by seven, more than the 4.5 they are giving the Raiders. Bills to cover is the bet, and I think 53.5 asks a little too much of the scoring.
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026
Packers vs Cowboys Prediction
Mon 19 Oct, 11:20am AEDTThe bookies have this as close as it gets and so do I, with the Packers by a point at Lambeau. The line is not a bet for me, but 52.5 looks too high for two sides this even.
By Ben Harris 14 October 2026NFL tips by week
Every week of the regular season gets its own page of NFL predictions. Open a week to read the calls for every game in it.
Regular season
Week 1 Tips, Week 2 Tips, Week 3 Tips, Week 4 Tips, Week 5 Tips, Week 6 Tips.
How I pick the NFL tips
Every game on the slate gets the same treatment. A model runs first, I read it second, and only some of what it flags ends up as a bet.
What the model is
It is a penalised regression fitted on recent NFL seasons, and there is a fuller write up on the NFL predictions model. The inputs are efficiency numbers built from play by play data, mostly expected points added on both sides of the ball, with an adjustment for the quarterback on the field. It returns a predicted score for both teams, which gives me a margin and a total to work from.
What moves it
Quarterback play moves it more than anything else. After that it is offensive and defensive efficiency over recent games, and the pace a side plays at, which is what pushes a total up or down. It does not read team news, it does not know who is carrying a knock, and it has no opinion on the weather.
Where the bets come from
I put the model number next to the bookmakers line and total and look at the gap. A narrow gap is not a bet, it just means the market has the game about right, and I say so on the page when that is the case. A gap wide enough to matter is the one worth backing, and that is what gets marked as a bet.
The model does not publish the tips. I do. It gives me a number to argue with, and the call on the page is mine, including the weeks I take the other side of it or leave a game alone.
Where to bet on NFL
Only bet with an Australian licensed bookmaker. The shortlist is in the best betting sites guide. Bookmakers don’t always post the same line, so compare a couple before you bet.
Frequently asked questions
What is the line in NFL betting? +
The points handicap. If a team is on the minus 3.5 line they have to win by four or more to cover; the other side covers if they win, or lose by three or less.
What are totals in NFL betting? +
The combined score of both teams. The bookie posts a number and you bet over or under it. Who wins doesn’t matter, only how many points go on the board.
What is an NFL multi? +
Two or more bets on the one ticket. Every leg has to win for it to pay, and the price multiplies with each leg you add. Fewer legs, better chance it lands.
How do you bet on NFL tips online? +
Open an account with an Australian licensed bookmaker, deposit, find the game and take the market the tip names. Stake an amount you can afford to lose.
Do you tip the NFL game at the MCG? +
Yes. Rams v 49ers at the MCG, the first regular season NFL game played in Australia, gets a call like every other game. It sits in the Week 1 tips.
Do you tip the NFL playoffs and the Super Bowl? +
Yes. The playoffs get their own tips once the playoff picture is set, right through to the Super Bowl. The Super Bowl call comes when the two teams are known, not months out.
Who writes the KRUZEY NFL tips? +
I do. Ben Harris, NFL lead tipster at KRUZEY. Same tipster every week and the same method every week, so when a call goes badly there is a name on it.