Aus Open Tips Day 7

Australian Open Betting Predictions Day 7

Ben Harris
18 January 2025

Australian Open Tennis Predictions 2026 Day 7

Day seven of the 2026 Australian Open offers milder conditions, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures ranging between 19°C and 21°C. The cooler weather provides a welcome change for players and fans alike, creating comfortable conditions without the intense heat or rain to disrupt play. With the stage set for some exciting matches, we’ve highlighted two standout games that present excellent betting opportunities and potential value to explore.

Using cutting-edge data analytics and player performance statistics, we’ve simulated countless scenarios to provide the most reliable predictions and insights for the 2026 Australian Open. Whether you’re tracking the form of the favourites or looking for dark horses to watch, our breakdown will help you stay ahead of the game!

Lorenzo Sonego vs Fabian Marozsan

Saturday, January 18, 2026 3:15 PM

Predicted Final Score

Sonego

6-4 : 6-7 : 6-3 : 6-4
Marozsan

Win Percentages

Sonego 52.00%
Marozsan 48.00%

 

The Betting Edge:

  • Bookmaker odds slightly overvalue Lorenzo Sonego (55.56% implied probability) compared to our analysis (52%). Conversely, Fabian Marozsan is undervalued by the bookmakers (50.00% implied probability vs 48%).

Value Opportunity:

  • There is no significant value in betting on Sonego at 1.80.
  • A speculative bet on Marozsan at 2.00 holds modest appeal, particularly given his strong comeback potential.

Score Betting Insights:

  • Sonego to win 3-1 (4.60) or 3-2 (5.75) offer reasonable returns for a tight contest.
  • Marozsan to win 3-1 (5.00) or 3-2 (5.75) could be worth a smaller stake given his ability to recover after losing the first set.

Recommendation:

  • Risk-averse bettors: Avoid betting as the probabilities align closely with bookmaker odds.
  • Speculative bettors: A small wager on Fabian Marozsan at 2.00 offers a balanced risk-reward scenario if you anticipate an upset or close match.

Madison Keys vs Danielle Collins

Saturday, January 18, 2026 10:15 PM

Predicted Final Score

Keys

6-4 : 6-3
Collins

Win Percentages

Keys 68.00%
Collins 32.00%

 

The Betting Edge:

  • The bookmaker’s odds slightly overvalue Madison Keys (73.53% implied probability vs our calculated 68%). However, her strong form and head-to-head dominance justify her position as the favourite.
  • Danielle Collins’ odds of 3.10 align closely with our calculated probability (32%), presenting no significant value.

Value Opportunity:

  • No substantial value exists in the outright markets.
  • Speculative bettors could consider Madison Keys to win 2-1 (4.00) if anticipating Collins to take a set based on her improved tie-break performance.

Score Betting Insights:

  • Madison Keys 2-0: 1.91 – Strong likelihood given her dominance in past encounters.
  • Danielle Collins 2-0: 5.00 – Higher-risk option with minimal statistical backing.

Recommendation:

  • Risk-averse bettors: Back Madison Keys at 1.36 for a relatively safe bet.
  • Speculative bettors: Explore the 2-1 scoreline for Keys at 4.00 if you anticipate Collins pushing the match to three sets. Avoid large stakes on Collins due to her lack of hard court matches in 2026.

 

Todays Australian Open Multi

Keys 2-0

Marozsan 3-1

Total: $9.55 with Bet365

 

Author Ben Harris

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact