Aus Open Tips Day 5

Australian Open Betting Predictions Day 5

Ben Harris
15 January 2025

2026 Australian Open Tennis Predictions Day Five

Day five of the 2026 Australian Open offers milder conditions, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures ranging between 19°C and 21°C. The cooler weather provides a welcome change for players and fans alike, creating comfortable conditions without the intense heat or rain to disrupt play. With the stage set for some exciting matches, we’ve highlighted two standout games that present excellent betting opportunities and potential value to explore.

Using cutting-edge data analytics and player performance statistics, we’ve simulated countless scenarios to provide the most reliable predictions and insights for the 2026 Australian Open. Whether you’re tracking the form of the favourites or looking for dark horses to watch, our breakdown will help you stay ahead of the game!

Tristan Boyer vs Alex De Minaur

Thursday, January 16, 2026 1:45 PM

Predicted Final Score

De Minaur

6-2 : 6-1 : 6-3
Boyer

Win Percentages

Boyer 14.00%
De Minaur 86.00%

 

- Offer bet365 Alex De Minaur

The Betting Edge:

  • Bookmakers’ odds (98.04% implied for Alex De Minaur) strongly favor him, slightly overstating his dominance against Tristan Boyer.
  • Tristan Boyer’s implied probability (7.14%) reflects his extremely slim chance of an upset.

Value Opportunity:

Set Betting:

  • Alex De Minaur 3-0 at 1.35 is the most likely outcome, a safe and reasonable option.
  • Alex De Minaur 3-1 at 4.50 offers value if you expect Boyer to steal a set.

Handicap Betting:

  • Alex De Minaur (-8.5 Games) at 1.95 is appealing for those confident in a dominant performance.
  • Tristan Boyer (+8.5 Games) at 1.80 could hold value if he can keep sets competitive.

Speculative Play:

  • Over 30.5 Games at 2.10 might be worth a punt if Boyer manages a close set, such as 7-5 or 7-6.

Recommendation:

  • Risk-averse bettors: Back Alex De Minaur 3-0 at 1.35 or Under 30.5 Games at 1.67 for a safe play.
  • Speculative bettors: Consider Over 30.5 Games at 2.10 or Tristan Boyer (+8.5 Games) at 1.80 if you anticipate a stronger fight from the underdog.

Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev

Thursday, January 16, 2026 9:15 PM

Predicted Final Score

Medvedev

6-3 : 6-2 : 6-1
Tien

Win Percentages

Tien 15.00%
Medvedev 85.00%

 

- Offer bet365 Daniil Medvedev

The Betting Edge:

Bookmakers’ odds imply a dominant confidence in Daniil Medvedev (86.96%), which closely aligns with the calculated probability (85%).
Learner Tien is undervalued slightly by the bookmaker (18.52% implied vs 15% calculated).

Value Opportunity:

Set Winner or Exact Set Bets:

  • Medvedev 3-0 at 1.91 offers reasonable value given his superior form and consistency on hard courts.

Game Total (Under 33.5):

  • At 1.91, this is a favourable option, reflecting the high likelihood of a straight-sets victory with limited total games.

Speculative Play:

  • A small wager on Medvedev -7.5 handicap at 2.05 could pay off if he dominates Tien with substantial margins.

Recommendation:

Risk-averse bettors: Consider a safer bet on Medvedev 3-0 at 1.91, reflecting his dominance and form.
Speculative bettors: Opt for Medvedev -7.5 handicap at 2.05 or Under 33.5 Games at 1.91 for higher potential payouts.

 

Todays Australian Open Multi

De Minaur 3-0 UNDER 30.5

Medvedev 3-0 UNDER 33.5

Total: $3.50 with Bet365

 

 

Author Ben Harris

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact

Related Posts