Argentina vs Egypt Prediction

Michael Kruse
Updated 21 July 2026
World Cup 2026 · Round of 16
Model Predicted Score
Wednesday, July 8 · 2:00 AM AEST · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Argentina flag

Argentina
1 : 0
Egypt flag

Egypt
Model prediction: Argentina · win by 1 goal
Recommended Bets
Match Result
Argentina
$1.36

Total Goals
Under 2.5 goals
$1.77

Exact Score
1-0
$7.24

Argentina to grind past Egypt, back them at $1.36

Argentina at $1.36 is the call, our model - World cup 2026 tips world cup 2026 model has them at 58% and expected goals sitting at 1.65 to 0.73. Four wins from four at this tournament, and while the Cape Verde scare was real, the finishing quality is a class above what Egypt bring.

Argentina needed extra time to avoid the upset - Football news 12026 13558801 world cup 2026 argentina 3 2 cape verde reigning champions avoid biggest upset in tournament history after extra time winner against Cape Verde, and Scaloni has since aired his frustration with the scheduling - Goal status 2073638526965715055. Legs will be heavy, so we’re on the under. Messi is still finding the net but this is a side that will be happy to manage the tempo and win 1-0.

Egypt have been the story of the tournament in their own quiet way, holding Belgium - Espn story _ id 49074981 2026 fifa world cup spain cape verde belgium egypt uruguay saudi arabia iran new zealand recap and knocking Australia out on penalties. Four of their last five have gone under 2.5. They defend deep, they frustrate, they don’t score much. Perfect dance partner for a low scoring Argentina win.

KRUZEY tip: Argentina at $1.36, under 2.5 goals at $1.77, and the 1-0 exact score at $7.24. That last one is the value grab. Confident on all three.

Argentina vs Egypt Tip

The model has Argentina at 58% on the match result, the predicted scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, and total goals lean under 2.5 goals at 57%. All three KRUZEY bets line up with that scoreline.

Argentina vs Egypt Form Guide

Argentina
WWWWW
  • W 3-2 vs Cape Verde Islands · 3 Jul 2026
  • W 3-1 vs Jordan · 28 Jun 2026
  • W 2-0 vs Austria · 22 Jun 2026
  • W 3-0 vs Algeria · 17 Jun 2026
  • W 3-0 vs Iceland · 10 Jun 2026
Egypt
DDWDL
  • D 1-1 vs Australia · 3 Jul 2026
  • D 1-1 vs Iran · 27 Jun 2026
  • W 3-1 vs New Zealand · 22 Jun 2026
  • D 1-1 vs Belgium · 15 Jun 2026
  • L 1-2 vs Brazil · 6 Jun 2026

Final Verdict

Predicted scoreline: 1-0. The three KRUZEY bets:

Match Result
Argentina
$1.36

Total Goals
Under 2.5 goals
$1.77

Exact Score
1-0
$7.24

Live Stream All Matches on bet365 - Offer bet365

See every World Cup 2026 prediction on the KRUZEY hub - World cup 2026 tips for the full bracket and the rest of the tournament.



Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact