World Cup 2026 Tips

About the KRUZEY World Cup 2026 model

We built a tournament simulator that rates every team on attack and defence from their last 30 international matches, with recent games weighted heavier and a confederation strength correction so an easy qualifying run doesn’t inflate a side’s rating. For each match it picks a likely score, then derives three bets that are consistent with that score: the match result, total goals over or under 2.5, and the exact scoreline. Three bets per match, all built off the same predicted score.

The group stage is done and the Round of 32 is underway, so we now run the simulation off the real bracket. Results that have been played are locked in, and we simulate the rest 10,000 times to see how the draw plays out from here. Argentina come through as our clear favourite at 17.9%, ahead of England on 10.5%, co-hosts Canada on 9.8% and Belgium on 9.4%. The raised eyebrow in our numbers: Canada, playing at home, are the model’s third pick to go all the way.

For the full methodology, the Qatar 2022 backtest results, and a worked example showing how the three bets come out of a single predicted score, read about the KRUZEY World Cup 2026 model.

2026 World Cup knockout simulation

The group stage is complete, so the bracket below starts at the Round of 32. Matches already played show the real result in gold; the rest are the model’s projected path in green. It refreshes as each round is decided, right through to the final on 19 July at MetLife Stadium, New Jersey.

World Cup 2026 FAQs