Question: Do horses really know where a winning post is? Answer: Can’t be definitive, but if you think they do, name some other inanimate objects they “know” by sticking their nose at??? Now obviously horses who are “winners” are without question better betting propositions than those who haven’t been winning, but the true “base rate” […]
Continue readingBlog: The Good Stuff
Reykjavik & Other Reminders
Priced him right (he started $11 and Betfair starting price of $12:90) but stupidly left him off the plan. From a learning perspective the important part was the “went forward and tapered in the Wangoom after a sound closing first up 3rd” as it directly relates to one of the great Marc Lambourne “pearls” from […]
Continue readingThe Supercolt’s Kryptonite
The theme for the newsletter is the “Kryptonite” reason (seemingly of course as from outside the stable we can only observe the data and make assumptions) for the defeat of BIVOUAC, who for mine was astonishingly backed and basically the money stopped coming for him when the barrier opened! I say “astonishingly” because in the […]
Continue readingDamon Runyon’s Bad Day
Good quality weekend of racing with Randwick’s card much deeper than Flemington’s, despite the outstanding ALLIGATOR BLOOD v CATALYST race and the Lightning Stakes in Melbourne. One of the points Vince made about the disappointing – to those who took the odds on! – performance of LIBERTINI when 4th in the Light Fingers at Randwick, was […]
Continue readingIs There A Margin In The Margins?
CELLSABEEL wow! This week includes the “wow” of CELLSABEEL and her stunning first up return to racing in Race 1 at Rosehill. Did you see CELLSABEEL (by Hinchinbrook) blow them away at Rosehill (R1) on Friday night? She is now the favorite for the G1 Golden Slipper 2yo classic at Rosehill on Friday night 20 March […]
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