State of Origin odds for the 2026 series, updated as the bookies move them. It has all come down to Wednesday night’s decider at Suncorp: one win each, winner takes the shield.
Head-to-head odds via Neds, correct as of Wednesday 8 July. Prices move with team news.
The State of Origin is a three game rugby league series played every winter between the Queensland Maroons and the New South Wales Blues. State against state, mate against mate, and this year it has gone the distance.
The most popular Origin market is the head-to-head for each game, and that is what we track here. Queensland have worn the favourite tag for most of the modern era, and they start favourites again for the decider at home: they have won six of the eight deciders played at Suncorp since 2005. The price moves with every team list and every result though, and this series has already swung twice. Prices on this page are Neds head-to-head odds. If you want to shop the price around, our guide to the best NRL betting sites - Nrl betting sites compares the bookies.
In addition to the head-to-head odds, there are plenty of other Origin markets with the bookies. These include the line, the total, the Series Correct Score, now down to Queensland 2-1 or New South Wales 2-1 with the series locked at one apiece, and you can also back a first try scorer in each game.
Both 17s have been named, with NSW making six changes to the side beaten in Melbourne and Queensland making two. Late changes can still come right up to kick-off, and the price will move if they do, so we check the odds again on game day. For the full read on the game, our Game 3 prediction - Nrl tips state of origin game 3 prediction has the tip, the line and the total covered.
The State of Origin series takes place annually over a period of several weeks between May and July.
The State of Origin series is played between two teams, New South Wales and Queensland.
The State of Origin series is played over three games.
Hosting is shared between the two states, with regular trips to grounds like the MCG and Optus Stadium in Perth. In 2026 the games were played in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, with Queensland hosting the decider at Suncorp Stadium.
Players are only allowed to play for the state in which they first played rugby league, regardless of where they were born.
It’s not advisable to write off the Maroons. Historically, they have proved most dangerous every time the bookies underestimate them.
Betting on the series way ahead of time is not advisable. It’s best to wait until closer to the event when the composition of the teams is revealed.
Consider factors like the cohesiveness within a team, prior State of Origin playing experience, and the number of times the respective players have faced each other.
You can place various types of bets including head-to-head, line betting, margin betting, and half time or full time markets.
Check out all this week’s NRL Multis on our Multi Bets Page - Multi bets tips.
Check out our previous NRL betting tips - Nrl betting tips.
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