Wests Tigers vs Eels Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

Wests Tigers vs Parramatta Eels Predictions

Game 8 of Round 7 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 21 features the Wests Tigers vs Dragons at CommBank Stadium on Monday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Monday, April 21, 2025

4:00 pm @ CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Wests Tigers

18 : 13

Eels

Win Percentages

Wests Tigers 65.54%

Eels 34.46%

Tigers

Eels

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Wests Tigers is set at $1.75, and $2.00 for the Parramatta Eels, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Tigers 53.33%
Eels 46.67%

Opportunity Bet

Our model reckons the bookies might be underestimating the Tigers’ edge here. The odds are fairly even, but the data says otherwise.

Now this is a proper edge, the bookies are giving the Tigers just a 53.33% chance of winning, but we’ve got them way out in front at 65.54%. That’s a 12% swing in our favour. Huge.

With that, the Tigers’ fair odds should be around $1.53, yet the market has them sitting at $1.75. That’s great value on the favourites, something we don’t say too often!

What to do?

The Tigers aren’t just slight favourites here, our data makes them clear front-runners. The bookies are giving them less credit than they deserve, and that’s where the value comes in.

Whether you’re backing them straight up, taking the -1.5 line, or chasing a 1-12 margin, this is one of the strongest betting edges of the round. Add in a lean to the under 47.5, and you’ve got a tidy little betting angle to work with.

If the Tigers play to their numbers, this one’s there for the taking.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Wests Tigers -1.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Wests Tigers @ $1.75 with
bet365

Winning Margin Bet:

Wests Tigers 1-12 @ $3.25 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 47.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Wests Tigers vs Eels SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Wests Tigers: 23.0, Eels: 13.2 – (Wests Tigers by 9.8 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Wests Tigers: 18.3, Eels: 33.7 – (Wests Tigers by 15.4 points)
Average Winning Margin: Wests Tigers: 18.0, Eels: 1.0 – (Wests Tigers by 17 points)
Average Losing Margin: Wests Tigers: 8.7, Eels: 24.8 – (Wests Tigers by 16.1 points)
HT/FT Double %: Wests Tigers: 33.3%, Eels: 0.0% – (Wests Tigers by 33.3%)
Highest Score For: Wests Tigers: 32, Eels: 23 – (Wests Tigers by 9 points)
Highest Score Against: Wests Tigers: 46, Eels: 56 – (Wests Tigers by 10 points)
Biggest Win: Wests Tigers: 26, Eels: 1 – (Wests Tigers by 25 points)
Biggest Loss: Wests Tigers: 22, Eels: 38 – (Wests Tigers more resilient by 16 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 70, Eels: 74 – (Eels by 4 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 18, Eels: 24 – (Wests Tigers by 6 points)
Current Streak: Wests Tigers: W1, Eels: L1 – (Wests Tigers momentum)
Current Form: Wests Tigers: WWLLW, Eels: LLLWL – (Wests Tigers edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 33.3%, Eels: N/A – (Wests Tigers higher)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 66.7%, Eels: N/A – (Wests Tigers higher)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Wests Tigers: 50.0%, Eels: 16.7% – (Wests Tigers by 33.3%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Wests Tigers won by 26 points (32-6) on 16th March 2025