Warriors vs Raiders Prediction

Game 5 of Round 12 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 25 features the Warriors vs Raiders at Go Media Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders Predictions

Sunday, May 25, 2025

4:05 pm @ Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Final Score Prediction

Warriors

22 : 24

Raiders

Win Percentages

Warriors 45.08%

Raiders 54.92%

Warriors

Raiders

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the New Zealand Warriors set at $1.75, and $2.05 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Warriors 53.95%
Raiders 46.05%

The Betting Edge

The bookies are giving a slight edge to the Warriors here, with odds of $1.75 translating to a 53.95% implied chance of winning. But based on our prediction, the Warriors are only a 45.08% chance, not exactly lining up with the market’s view.

On the other hand, the Raiders are paying $2.05, which gives them an implied probability of just 46.05%. Our model rates them a bit higher at 54.92%, which suggests Canberra are actually more likely to come out on top.

That difference means there’s a bit of value backing the Raiders. If our numbers are on the money, the true odds for Canberra should be closer to $1.82. So getting them at $2.05 is a nice little bonus.

In a tight match-up like this, small edges matter, and in this case, the Raiders look to be the value play. The bookies might be underestimating their chances just enough to make that $2.05 a worthwhile punt.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Warriors vs Raiders Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Raiders by 8.4
Average Points Against Per Match: Warriors by 3.1
Power Rank: Raiders by 2
Average Winning Margin: Raiders by 7
SoS Adjusted Points For: Raiders by 9
Win Percentage: Warriors by 7%
Average Opponent Rank: Even
Average Opponent Win %: Raiders by 5%
Average Opponent Points For: Warriors by 5
Highest Score For: Raiders by 14
Highest Score Against: Raiders by 2
Highest Total Match Score: Raiders by 12
Lowest Total Match Score: Warriors by 18
Adjusted Points For: Raiders by 9
Adjusted Points Against: Warriors by 8
True Power Score (Weighted): Raiders by 4.4
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 46.2
Game Style Prediction: N/A
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Warriors: 6, Raiders: 6 – (Even)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Warriors: 9.00, Raiders: 4.83 – (Raiders by 4.17)

Over/Under Tempo: Mid-range tempo expected; balanced pace with potential for scoring swings.

Game Style Prediction: Balanced low scoring. Expect a measured contest with disciplined lines and limited points.

What to do?

This ones pretty easy, take the Raiders on the nose, or if your feeling fancy go the Raiders 1-12 for more value, If you dont think the Raiders will win take the OVER 43.5, both the predicted score and game tempo are edging the 47 points mark.

Looking at multis go the Raiders 1-12, Raiders +1.5, and the OVER 43.5 for a handy little $12.27 with Unibet as shown below.