Sharks vs Eels Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 9

Cronulla Sharks vs Parramatta Eels Predictions

Game 1 of Round 9 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 2 features the Sharks vs Eels at Suncorp Stadium on Friday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Friday, May 2, 2025

6:00 pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Final Score Prediction

Sharks

28 : 14

Eels

Win Percentages

Sharks 61.20%

Eels 38.80%

Sharks

Eels

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Sharks set at $1.49, and $2.63 for the Eels, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Sharks 63.87%
Eels 36.13%

Opportunity Bet

The edge in this game between the Sharks and the Eels comes down to the gap between what the bookies reckon, and what our deep dive into the stats suggests. Here’s how it all stacks up:

The bookies are leaning heavily towards the Sharks with a 63.87% implied chance, but our breakdown has them just a touch lower at 61.20%. Meanwhile, they’ve pegged the Eels at 36.13%, yet our numbers say they’re a little stronger at 38.80%.

This gives a slight edge towards the Eels when it comes to finding a bit of value. According to our analysis, the Eels have a better chance of causing an upset than what the bookies are giving them credit for (as minuscule as the opportunity may be).

Right now, the Eels are sitting at odds of $2.63. Based on our numbers, there’s little value there for anyone keen on backing the underdog. It’s not a massive mismatch, and honestly not worth throwing your money away!

Power Rankings Breakdown

Predicted Final Score: Sharks 28 – 14 Eels
Average Points For: Sharks 23.38, Eels 16.71
Average Points Against: Sharks 18.50, Eels 32.00
Power Rank: Sharks 4th, Eels 17th
Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
Tempo (Over/Under Line): 42.9

All in all, the Sharks are deserved favourites here, but the Eels aren’t without a sniff based on the numbers. If you’re chasing a bit of value, a cheeky bet on the Eels at $2.63 might not be the worst idea (however, keep in mind a sniff is most likely all they will get)!

What to do?

Play it safe and bet on the Sharks, the Sharks -6.5 is more than likely, and with the Eels having an average score against of 32 we can assume the Sharks with a power ranking of 4 will make light work of a few extra tries.

Take the Sharks -6.5, total score OVER 46.5, and the Sharks winning margin 13+ currently paying $9.47 with Unibet.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Sharks -6.5 @ $1.95 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Sharks @ $1.49 with
Unibet

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 46.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Sharks 13+ @ $2.63 with
Unibet

Sharks vs Eels SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Sharks: 23.38, Eels: 16.71 – (Sharks by 6.7 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks: 18.50, Eels: 32.00 – (Sharks by 13.5 points)
Power Rank: Sharks: 4, Eels: 17 – (Sharks by 13)
Average Winning Margin: Sharks: 16.25, Eels: 8.50 – (Sharks by 8 points)
SoS Adjusted Points For: Sharks: 19.29, Eels: 19.02 – (Sharks by 0.27 points)
Win Percentage: Sharks: 50.00%, Eels: 28.57% – (Sharks by 21.43%)
Average Opponent Rank: Sharks: 5.87, Eels: 9.67 – (Sharks by 3.8 ranks)
Average Opponent Win %: Sharks: 55.95%, Eels: 45.98% – (Sharks by 9.97%)
Average Opponent Points For: Sharks: 22.98, Eels: 20.78 – (Eels by 2.2 points)
Highest Score For: Sharks: 36.00, Eels: 38.00 – (Eels by 2 points)
Highest Score Against: Sharks: 28.00, Eels: 56.00 – (Sharks by 28 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Sharks: 50.00, Eels: 74.00 – (Eels by 24 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Sharks: 26.00, Eels: 24.00 – (Eels by 2 points)
Adjusted Points For: Sharks: 19.29, Eels: 19.02 – (Sharks by 0.27 points)
Adjusted Points Against: Sharks: 18.15, Eels: 29.27 – (Sharks by 11.12 points)
True Power Score (Weighted): Sharks: 5.60, Eels: 15.80 – (Sharks by 10.2)
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 42.9
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring