Game 4 of Round 18 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on July 6 features the Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥
Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers Predictions
Sunday, July 6, 2025
2:00pm @ Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Final Score Prediction
Roosters
Tigers
Sunday afternoon at Allianz Stadium shapes as danger game for the Roosters against a Tigers outfit desperate to prove they belong.
While the bookies expect a comfortable home win, our model sees this as a genuine arm wrestle that could go right down to the wire.
The Tigers have shown glimpses of improvement and could catch the Roosters napping in what promises to be a low-scoring affair.
Win Percentages
57.18%
42.82%
The Market Assessment
Once again, we see a massive disconnect between the bookies and our model. The Roosters are $1.25 favourites, giving away 12.5 points.
Yet our prediction of just a 3-point margin suggests the Tigers at $3.85 and especially with the points represent exceptional value.
When the line is this far off our prediction, it usually signals an opportunity for savvy punters.
The Danger Game Scenario
This has all the hallmarks of a classic “danger game” for the Roosters.
Short turnarounds, injury concerns, and facing a desperate opponent can level any playing field.
Our confidence level rates this as only a “lean tip” – suggesting this could genuinely go either way.
The Tigers have nothing to lose and will throw everything at the star-studded Roosters.
Head-to-Head Analysis
The numbers reveal why this could be much closer than expected:
- Power Rankings: Roosters 5th vs Tigers 11th – not a huge gap
- Attack: Only 5 points per game difference
- Defence: Both teams have defensive concerns
- Recent Form: Roosters inconsistent, Tigers improving
- Head-to-Head: Tigers have troubled Roosters recently
Game Style Prediction: Balanced, moderate scoring grind
Expected Total: 43 points
Our Betting Strategy
Lock of the Week: Tigers +12.5
Tigers +12.5 @ $1.90
This is as good as it gets. Taking 12.5 points when we predict just a 3-point margin? Load up with confidence.
The Allianz Advantage?
The Roosters’ home record is strong, but they’ve been vulnerable against teams with nothing to lose.
Sunday afternoon games often produce upsets, especially when one team is expected to win easily.
Key Battle: The Tigers’ defensive line speed versus the Roosters’ lateral attack will determine the outcome.
The Bottom Line
Don’t let the short odds fool you – this has upset written all over it.
The Tigers with 12.5 points is the bet of the round, while those seeking a big collect should seriously consider the head-to-head upset.
Back the Tigers with supreme confidence – they’re ready to roar.
Remember to gamble responsibly.
Related:
NRL Draw
Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.
NRL Injury List
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.
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