Roosters vs Sharks Prediction

Game 4 of Round 12 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 24 features the Roosters vs Sharks at Industree Group Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks Predictions

Saturday, May 24, 2025

7:35 pm @ Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Final Score Prediction

Roosters

22 : 25

Sharks

Win Percentages

Roosters 41.15%

Sharks 58.85%

Roosters

Sharks

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Sydney Roosters set at $3.45, and $1.30 for the Cronulla Sharks, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Roosters 27.37%
Sharks 72.63%

The Betting Edge

The Sharks come into this clash as strong favourites, with the bookies giving them a 72.63% chance of getting the job done at short odds of $1.30. Our prediction still has them on top, but with a win probability of 58.85%, so not quite as dominant as the market believes.

Now here’s where it gets interesting, Sydney Roosters are paying $3.45, which translates to an implied probability of just 27.37%. But according to our numbers, they’re actually a 41.15% chance of pulling off the upset. That’s a pretty chunky difference and opens the door for some real value.

Using our analysis, the true odds for the Roosters should be around $2.43, not the $3.45 being offered. That’s a serious edge for anyone looking to take a calculated risk on the underdog.

So in this case, the value bet is clearly with the Roosters. The market’s selling them short, and if our forecast is on point, that $3.45 price tag could be a tidy bit of overs worth jumping on.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Roosters vs Sharks Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Sharks by 2.7
Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks by 8
Power Rank: Sharks by 11
Average Winning Margin: Sharks by 0 (even)
SoS Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 3
Win Percentage: Sharks by 24%
Average Opponent Rank: Sharks by 4
Average Opponent Win %: Sharks by 22%
Average Opponent Points For: Roosters by 2
Highest Score For: Roosters by 10
Highest Score Against: Sharks by 22
Highest Total Match Score: Roosters by 13
Lowest Total Match Score: Roosters by 6
Adjusted Points For: Roosters by 3
Adjusted Points Against: Sharks by 7
True Power Score (Weighted): Sharks by 8.8
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 47
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Roosters: 11, Sharks: 7 – (Sharks by 4)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Roosters: 8.00, Sharks: 6.83 – (Sharks by 1.17)

Over/Under Tempo: Slightly below average tempo; scoring could be subdued despite attacking potential.

Game Style Prediction: Likely blowout. Expect dominant performance by one side with minimal overall scoring.

What to do?

The bookies are right in backing the Sharks this week, but with no value in the head to head take the Roosters +9.5 as we are not expecting a washout.

Looking at multis go the Sharks 1-12, Roosters +9.5, and the OVER 44.5 for a $11.41 with Unibet as shown below.