Eels vs Sharks Prediction
This is the game where I disagree with the bookies…

The Sharks arrive on a three game winning run and this is their kind of assignment, but we’re not convinced they run away with it. We’ve got them winning a tight one, so the value is the Sea Eagles and the points at Brookvale, with the score staying under 46.5.
$1.61
$1.96
$1.87
$5.72
Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365
Odds correct at time of posting
The winner is the easy part. The Sharks are the form side, they’ve owned this matchup, and this week they get three men back from injury and illness. The value is whether Manly can keep it tight at home, and we think they can.
The Sharks roll in on a three game winning run, sitting fourth and chasing a top two finish. They get three men back from injury and illness, and with Nicho Hynes steering, they control a game as well as anyone. Winning here is the safe part of this card.
The Sea Eagles have lost four of their past five and slid from third to ninth, and now they lose Tom Trbojevic to a hamstring with Lehi Hopoate shifting to fullback. That’s why we’re not backing them to win, and why the market has them at arm’s length.
Here’s the value. The Sea Eagles tend to lift at Brookvale, and a proud home side digs in rather than folds. We only need them to stay within three points, and two stingy defences point to a lower score than the market fears.
Here’s the honest risk. These two have produced blowouts before, with the Sharks racking up 40 in more than one recent meeting, and a hot side that finds top gear busts both the line and the under. If the reshuffled home backline leaks early, the value evaporates fast.
Sharks to win a tight one, but the Sea Eagles to cover the +3.5 at home as the points stay under 46.5.
We’re with the Sharks to win, but the real value is the Sea Eagles and the points at Brookvale, with the total staying under 46.5. This shapes as a tight arm wrestle, not a shootout, and we only need Manly to stay within three points.
Lehi Hopoate to score a try: we make it about a $1.75 chance. He has crossed for a try in four of his last seven. Anything longer than our number wherever you bet is the value side.
Ronaldo Mulitalo to score a try: we make it about a $1.75 chance. He has crossed for a try in four of his last seven. Anything longer than our number wherever you bet is the value side.
Jason Saab to score two or more tries: we make it about a $2.33 chance. He has crossed twice or more in three of his last seven. Anything longer than our number wherever you bet is the value side.
Haumole Olakau’atu to score a try: we make it about a $1.67 chance. He has crossed for a try in three of his last five. Anything longer than our number wherever you bet is the value side.
William Kennedy to score a try: we make it about a $2.33 chance. He has crossed for a try in three of his last seven. Anything longer than our number wherever you bet is the value side.
The combo, our price $2.92. Katoa, Saab and Olakau’atu each to score a try, covering both sides of the game. Sione Katoa has crossed in four of his last five; Jason Saab has crossed in five of his last seven; Haumole Olakau’atu has crossed in three of his last five. Multiply their records together, pricing any perfect run like it can end, and the trio lands about $2.92; more than that on offer is paying over. No bookie runs a named three player each to score market like this.
The multi, our price $5.72. The combo plus our tip above, Eagles +3.5 at $1.96. Our combo chance into the line odds lands it at $5.72.
The prices against each prop are our own assessed chances, built from the players’ recent game logs. They are not bookmaker quotes: check the current price wherever you bet, and anything longer than our number is the value side. The line leg of the multi uses the match odds on this page. Late team changes can knock out any leg.
| Match | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks |
| Date | Sunday, July 26 |
| Kick-off | 4:05pm AEST |
| Venue | Brookvale Oval |
| Round | NRL Round 21 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Multi: Eagles +3.5 + Katoa, Saab & Olakau’atu To Score @ $5.72 |
| Predicted Score | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 22 – Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 23 |
We’re tipping the Sharks to win a tight one at Brookvale. They arrive on a three game winning run, sit fourth and have owned this matchup, and they get three regulars back from injury and illness.
Our headline play is the multi at $5.72, pairing the Sea Eagles +3.5 with Katoa, Saab and Olakau’atu each to score. On its own, the Sea Eagles +3.5 at $1.96 is the value leg.
We think so. We have the Sharks winning by just a point, so we’ve got the Sea Eagles covering the +3.5 at home and the total staying under 46.5.
The Sea Eagles have the bye in Round 22. They return in Round 23 to play the Storm at HBF Park on Saturday 8 August.
The Sharks play the Rabbitohs - at Ocean Protect Stadium on Sunday 2 August in NRL Round 22.