Storm vs Titans Prediction
Melbourne without Cameron Munster is still Melbourne at AAMI Park,…
Dolphins vs Sharks Prediction
Fifth against sixth at Redcliffe this afternoon, and the market can barely split them. I can. The Dolphins get their Origin man back, and a full strength side at home is worth more than the bookies are paying.
NRL Round 19 • 2026
Model Predicted — Final Score
DOL
$1.64
Saturday, July 11 • 3:00pm
26 : 21
Kayo Stadium
CRO
$2.26
Dolphins by 5 points
Model Predicted Margin
Dolphins by 5
Current Market
Dolphins -3.5
1.5 pts edge
Our Bets This Game
H2HDolphins to win
$1.64
LINEDolphins -2.5
$1.86
TOTALUnder 48.5 points
$1.90
MULTIDolphins, -2.5 & Under 48.5
$5.80
Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365
Odds correct at time of posting
Dolphins Have Won Three of the Last Four Against the Sharks. Max Plath Is Back From Origin Duty.
The bookies make it a field goal and a bit. Cronulla are no bunnies, three of their last four in the bag, but their one win over the Dolphins lately came in Sydney. Redcliffe has been a different story, and that is the layer the price is missing.
Redcliffe has not been kind to Cronulla
The Dolphins have won three of the last four against the Sharks, including a 38-10 hiding earlier this season. The one Sharks win in that stretch came in Sydney. Different ground, different story.
The Origin man is back
Max Plath is the only Origin player backing up for the Dolphins, with Thomas Flegler named as 20th man. Both sides sit in the eight and the finals race is live.
Where the points come from, and where they stop
The bars below tell it: the Dolphins break more tackles, crack the line more often, and they have been the stingier defensive side all year. My numbers land this in the mid forties, so the under 48.5 at $1.90 completes the picture.
What the Sharks bring
Cronulla have won three of their last four and they are sixth on merit. If the Dolphins come back flat after the Origin period, 2.5 points evaporates quickly. That is the sweat.
Dolphins vs Sharks Tip
Dolphins to win and cover the 2.5 point line at $1.86. A full strength Dolphins at Redcliffe carry too much strike for a Sharks side that has to travel for this one.
Dolphins vs Sharks Key Stats
TACKLE BREAKS
DOL34
CRO28
Dolphins average 34.3 tackle breaks a game to the Sharks’ 28.5. Nearly six more times a game they get through the first grab, and at Redcliffe those turn into points.
LINE BREAKS
DOL6
CRO5
5.8 line breaks a game to Cronulla’s 4.9. Nearly one more clean break every game, and that strike edge is what covers the 2.5.
POINTS AGAINST
DOL20
CRO23
The Dolphins concede 20.1 a game to the Sharks’ 23.0, the stingier side all season, which is why the under rounds out the multi.
Dolphins vs Sharks Form Guide
The Dolphins
WWWWL
- R14: W 40-14 vs Cowboys
- R15: W 48-10 vs Roosters
- R16: W 36-22 vs Wests Tigers
- R17: W 26-24 vs Warriors
- R18: L 12-13 vs Knights
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
WWWLW
- R13: W 28-22 vs Sea Eagles
- R14: W 34-12 vs Dragons
- R15: W 10-8 vs Warriors
- R16: L 8-27 vs Roosters
- R18: W 28-16 vs Broncos
Ben’s Verdict
The Dolphins at Redcliffe against a good Sharks side, and the strike numbers still win it for me. Dolphins by a converted try, the under holds, and the multi at $5.80 is the ticket. The risk is Origin legs in the first twenty minutes. I will wear that at these prices.
Our Bets
H2H Dolphins to win$1.64
LINE Dolphins -2.5$1.86
TOTAL Under 48.5 points$1.90
MULTI Dolphins, -2.5 & Under 48.5$5.80
Up Next in the NRL
Key Facts
| Match | The Dolphins vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks |
| Date | Saturday, July 11 |
| Kick-off | 3:00pm AEST |
| Venue | Kayo Stadium |
| Round | NRL Round 19 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Dolphins Multi: H2H + Line + Under 48.5 @ $5.80 |
| Predicted Score | The Dolphins 26 – Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 21 |
The Dolphins vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks FAQs
Who will win Dolphins vs Sharks?
We are tipping the Dolphins at $1.64, with a predicted score of 26-21. They have won three of the last four meetings with the Sharks and get their Origin man back for this one.
What is the best bet for Dolphins vs Sharks?
Dolphins on the 2.5 point line at $1.86 is our top play. The full multi of Dolphins head to head, the line and under 48.5 points pays $5.80.
Will Dolphins vs Sharks go over or under 48.5 points?
We are taking the under at $1.90. Our predicted score of 26-21 lands the total at 47, and the Dolphins have conceded just 20.1 points a game this season.
Who do the Dolphins play next week?
The Dolphins play the Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday 19 July in NRL Round 20. Read our Dolphins vs Cowboys Round 20 prediction.
Who do the Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks play next week?
The Sharks play the Knights at Ocean Protect Stadium on Friday 17 July in NRL Round 20. Read our Sharks vs Knights Round 20 prediction.
Verified result – Round 19
We tipped Dolphins to win – incorrect. Final score: Dolphins 0 – Sharks 66.
| Market | Our bet | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multi | Dolphins, -3.5 & Under 49.5 @ $5.50 | Loss | -1.00u |
Predicted: Dolphins 26 – Sharks 21. Off by 71 pts on the margin. Season-to-date accuracy and ROI: NRL results page - Nrl tips nrl results.
