Roosters vs Sharks Prediction
The Roosters host the Sharks in the highest scoring matchup…
Knights vs Dragons Prediction
Newcastle roll into McDonald Jones off three wins from their last five, fronting a St George Illawarra side that has lost the lot and is leaking close to 39 points a game. The model lands the Knights by 24, and the value this week runs well past the head to head.
NRL Round 16 • 2026
Model Predicted — Final Score
NEW
$1.31
Friday, June 19
38 : 14
McDonald Jones Stadium
STI
$3.50
Newcastle Knights by 24 points
Model Predicted Margin
Newcastle Knights by 24
Current Market
Newcastle Knights -10.5
13.5 pts edge
Our Bets This Game
H2HKnights to win
$1.31
LINEKnights -10.5
$1.93
TOTALOver 48.5 points
$1.89
MULTIKnights, -10.5 & Over 48.5
$4.78
Claim Tips at bet365 - Offer bet365
Odds correct at time of posting
The Knights Have Found Their Feet While the Dragons Are Yet to Win in Five. This One Has Blowout Written All Over It, and the Smart Money Wants More Than the Win.
There is form, and then there is the gap between these two. The Knights are scoring 31.6 a game and finally look settled. The Dragons are cold, winless in five, and shipping points at a rate that turns any Newcastle attacking weapon into a problem. Home turf only sharpens the edge.
Knights vs Dragons Tip
Knights to win and cover. The model lands them at 38-14, a 24 point margin that clears the 10.5 line with plenty to spare. With both sides built to attack more than defend, the points should pile up over 48.5.
Knights vs Dragons Key Stats
POINTS PER GAME
NEW31.6
STI11.2
Newcastle are scoring nearly three times what the Dragons manage.
WINS FROM LAST 5
NEW3
STI0
St George Illawarra are yet to win a game in their past five.
POINTS CONCEDED PER GAME
NEW28.4
STI38.8
Lower is better here, and the Dragons are leaking almost 39 a game.
Knights vs Dragons Form Guide
Newcastle Knights
WWLWL
- R11: W 30-18 vs Dragons
- R12: W 26-22 vs Titans
- R13: L 20-28 vs Storm
- R14: W 34-16 vs Bulldogs
- R15: L 18-24 vs Sharks
St George Illawarra Dragons
LLLLL
- R11: L 12-30 vs Roosters
- R12: L 10-28 vs Panthers
- R13: L 14-26 vs Eels
- R14: L 8-34 vs Warriors
- R15: L 16-22 vs Cowboys
Final Verdict
Everything points the one way here. The Knights are the form side, they are at home, and the Dragons have shown nothing to suggest they can stay with them for 80 minutes. Take the win, take the line, take the over, or roll all three into the multi for the bigger return.
Our Bets
H2H Knights to win$1.31
LINE Knights -10.5$1.93
TOTAL Over 48.5 points$1.89
MULTI Knights, -10.5 & Over 48.5$4.78
Up Next Tips and Predictions
Key Facts
| Match | Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons |
| Date | Friday, June 19 |
| Kick-off | 8:00pm AEST |
| Venue | McDonald Jones Stadium |
| Round | NRL Round 16 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Knights Multi: H2H + Line + Over 48.5 @ $4.78 |
| Predicted Score | Newcastle Knights 38 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14 |
Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons FAQs
Who will win Knights vs Dragons in NRL Round 16?
Our model favours the Newcastle Knights, predicting a 38-14 win, a 24 point margin built on stronger form and attack.
What is the best bet for Knights vs Dragons?
The Knights to cover the 10.5 line at $1.93 stands up well, but the standout this week is the three leg multi at around $4.78.
What is in the Knights vs Dragons multi?
Knights head to head at $1.31, Knights minus 10.5 at $1.93 and over 48.5 total points at $1.89, combined for roughly $4.78.
