Game 6 of Round 6 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 12 features the Eels vs Raiders at TIO Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.Â
At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Parramatta Eels is set at $2.55, and $1.52 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Eels
37.35%
Raiders
62.65%
Opportunity Bet
The Raiders are paying $1.52, which reflects a 62.65% implied chance, almost bang-on with our model’s 61%. So while they’re rightly favourites, there’s not much extra value at that price.
Now, looking at the Eels, they’re priced at $2.55, which gives them a 37.35% implied win rate. But our numbers say they’ve actually got a 39% shot. It’s not a massive edge, but there’s still a little value there if you’re feeling bold and want to back the underdog.
In Summary
While the Raiders should come away with the win, the market’s pricing is pretty sharp. That said, the Eels offer a tiny sliver of value at $2.55. If you’re chasing a higher return and reckon they could fire up, they’re worth a cheeky look.
What to do?
Up to Darwin this week, the Eels and the Raiders will be sweltering it out in the heat with no true home ground advantage. The Eels as expected, have not had a turn around of a season this year and will be back on track with another loss again this week as the Raiders take advantage of their higher try scoring ratio. Honestly trying to predict how much the Raiders will win by this week was a tough one but we’re looking at around 12 points, a little too close of a call to bet on the winning margin, the line this week is the best step forwards, unless of course you’re planning to back the Eels then the 1-12 is a good way to go.
Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness.
A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedInEmail Contact
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