Roosters vs Knights Grand Final Betting Tips & Prediction
The Knights have earned this, and I still cannot get…
The Roosters won the 2026 NRL Grand Final by 1 at Accor Stadium on Sunday 4 October. The Roosters won the head to head by 1. Roosters -6.5 did not cover. The game produced 37 points, so the over 42.5 did not get there.
Read the Grand Final tip as it was published - Nrl tips roosters vs knights prediction 04 10 26
The 2026 NRL Grand Final is the Sydney Roosters against the Newcastle Knights at Accor Stadium on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 7:30pm AEDT. The two clubs have never met in a grand final. It is the Roosters’ first decider since 2019 and Newcastle’s first since 2001.
My tip: Roosters vs Knights Grand Final betting tips and prediction - Nrl tips roosters vs knights prediction 04 10 26. I had the Roosters by 15 and I was on the line rather than the head to head, with the total as a pick rather than a bet. Every angle is still written up there exactly as it stood before kickoff.
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The Grand Final is the last game of the season, played between the two preliminary final winners. Sudden death, one night, no second chance. It is the one game of the year where the form guide counts for least and preparation, matchups and nerve count for most.
Daylight saving starts in New South Wales on the morning of the game, so the 7:30pm kickoff is Sydney daylight time. That is 6:30pm in Brisbane, 7:00pm in Adelaide and 4:30pm in Perth. The NRLW Grand Final, Roosters v Broncos, is on the same card earlier in the day.
The Roosters finished fourth with 16 wins from 24, then lost the qualifying final 12-19 to Penrith at CommBank Stadium on Sunday 13 September. From there they beat Cronulla 46-10 at Allianz Stadium on Saturday 19 September and the Dolphins 36-20 at Suncorp Stadium on Friday 25 September. Three finals, 94 points scored, 49 conceded, and nine days between the preliminary final and the decider.
The Knights finished seventh with 14 wins from 24, so every one of their finals was sudden death. They beat South Sydney 20-10 at Allianz Stadium on Friday 11 September, beat the Warriors 12-10 at Eden Park on Sunday 20 September in front of 48,511, the biggest rugby league crowd ever in New Zealand, and beat Penrith 22-14 at Accor Stadium on Sunday 27 September after playing the last 44 minutes with 12 men. Phoenix Crossland was sent off in the 36th minute for the hip drop tackle that broke Nathan Cleary’s ankle, the first send off for a hip drop in NRL history. Three finals, 54 points scored, 34 conceded, and seven days to the decider.
I had the Roosters by 4 in Brisbane and they won by 16, so the winner was right and the margin was short. I had Penrith by 9 and Newcastle won by 8 with a man down, which was wrong at every end. Both write ups are still up: Dolphins vs Roosters - Nrl tips dolphins vs roosters prediction 25 09 26 and Panthers vs Knights - Nrl tips panthers vs knights prediction 27 09 26.
Newcastle finished last in 2025 with six wins from 24. Twelve months later they are in a grand final. Since Western Suburbs in 1934, the only other club to play a decider the season after the wooden spoon is the 2010 Roosters, who lost it. No side has won the premiership from seventh, and only two have won it from outside the top four, Brisbane in 1993 and Canterbury in 1995.
The Roosters have won both meetings this year, 38-24 in Round 7 and 23-22 in Round 21, the second of those on a Daly Cherry-Evans field goal in the 77th minute. Trent Robinson has coached three grand finals, in 2013, 2018 and 2019, and won all three. A win on Sunday is the club’s 16th premiership, which breaks a tie with St George on 15 and leaves only South Sydney, on 21, ahead of them. Newcastle’s two premierships came in 1997 and 2001.
The last ten grand finals produced 26, 40, 27, 22, 46, 26, 40, 50, 20 and 48 points. Five of the ten stayed under 40 and the average is 34.5, which is worth knowing before you back a total.
Roosters vs Knights Grand Final prediction - Nrl tips roosters vs knights prediction 04 10 26
Full NRL finals draw and results - Nrl nrl finals draw
Preliminary finals tips and results - Nrl tips nrl tips finals week 3
Semi finals tips and results - Nrl tips nrl tips finals week 2
Finals week 1 tips and results - Nrl tips nrl tips finals week 1
The 2026 result and how the tip went are at the top of this page, and this is where my 2027 Grand Final tips will land. Browse the NRL Tips & Predictions - Nrl tips hub or compare the best NRL betting sites - Nrl betting sites I use to back my tips.
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