Saints vs Falcons Prediction
The Falcons have taken three of the last four in…
Nobody is expecting much scoring here and 39.5 is the bookies saying so out loud. I have 44 points and the Eagles by six into a line of seven and a half, which makes the overs the bet and the line a pass.
$1.27
$1.79
$1.90
$3.40
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Odds correct at time of posting
The quickest way to keep a total down is to hand the ball back, and neither of these two did it once in Week 1. Sides that look after the football are not the sides you price at 39.5.
The Titans lost 23 to 10 throwing it on four out of every five plays, which is a side chasing a match and moving the ball without finishing many drives. The Eagles got home 24 to 22 on the back of five gains of 20 yards or more. Two offences that can get down the field will find more than 39.5 between them.
I make it Eagles 25, Titans 19, so 44 points, four and a half clear of the market. The overs at $1.90 sits well over my September bar and it is the bet. The line is a different story: seven and a half against my six is a point and a half out and nothing worth acting on.
The official report is a quiet one and changes nothing in my read: the Eagles have edge rusher Jonathan Greenard out for a second week and a safety questionable, the Titans have three questionable and nobody out, and neither side has a quarterback on the list. The Titans have been saying all week they want to run it more than they did in the opener. The overs goes down if the Titans stay stuck on 10 points and the Eagles never have to get out of second gear.
I have the Eagles winning 25 to 19, six points into a line of seven and a half, and the overs at 39.5 for $1.90 is the bet on this game.
I would not go near the seven and a half at any price. The 39.5 is the number the bookies have got wrong and it is the only one I want.
| Match | Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles |
| Date | Monday, September 21 |
| Kick-off | 3:00am AEST |
| Venue | Nissan Stadium |
| Round | NFL Week 2 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | I have the Eagles winning 25 to 19, six points into a line of seven and a half, and the overs at 39.5 for $1.90 is the bet on this game. |
| Predicted Score | Titans 19 – Eagles 25 |
I have the Eagles by six, 25 to 19, and they are $1.27 to do it. The Titans lost their opener at home and the Eagles got over the line in theirs, and I do not have the gap as wide as the market does.
Not enough for me. The Eagles are giving seven and a half and I have them by six, a point and a half of difference against a bar of three. The Titans at +7.5 for $1.79 is the side and it is not a bet.
I make it 44 points against a market of 39.5. That four and a half point gap is the best thing on this game, so the overs at $1.90 is the bet.
The official report has the Eagles without Jonathan Greenard, with Andrew Mukuba questionable. The Titans have nobody out and three questionable, Cordale Flott, Cedric Gray and James Williams, and there is no quarterback on either report.
The Titans travel to play the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on Monday 28 September (AEST) in NFL Week 3.
The Eagles travel to play the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on Tuesday 29 September (AEST) in NFL Week 3.